Boston University Terriers at Northwestern Wildcats
Final · BTN
55–72Last shot · Alex Zakheim misses 26-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected BU 65.27–80.11 NU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 9:01 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 534489069
- Winner: Northwestern (90%)
- Spread: BU +16.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Over 144.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)18
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
BU 65.27–80.11 NU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseNU +7.7 off · BU +13.1 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to NU
- RecordNU 3-0 · BU 2-1
- Market priorBlended 84% toward NU -13.5 / total 143.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BU | 24 | 31 | 55 |
| NU | 39 | 33 | 72 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2549–63
Angelo Ciaravino makes 11-foot turnaround jump shot (Jake West assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:1050–63
Kyrone Alexander makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:1051–63
Kyrone Alexander makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5851–64
Jake West makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5851–65
Jake West makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:3851–66
Angelo Ciaravino makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:3851–67
Angelo Ciaravino makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1752–67
Kyrone Alexander makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1753–67
Kyrone Alexander makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5353–70
Phoenix Gill makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jake West assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4355–70
Alex Zakheim makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1355–72
Angelo Ciaravino makes 18-foot jumper (Jake West assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| BU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S. Hughes F · #6 | 34 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 M. Oberti F · #34 | 25 | 10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
 M. Baptiste F · #0 | 19 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 A. Abdullah G · #7 | 27 | 11 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
 K. Alexander G · #5 | 35 | 11 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 EJ Vernon F · #25 | 9 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
 D. Lloyd IV F · #14 | 15 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 A. Bhesania F · #15 | 15 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 A. Zakheim G · #1 | 21 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
 Q. Nielsen F · #32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Easter G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Dalgaard G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Terry G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Tisinger Jr. G · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 P. Carr G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 55 | 19-45 | 6-20 | 11-19 | 35 | 13 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 14 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BU | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-45 | 27-62 |
| FG% | 42 | 44 |
| 3PT | 6-20 | 6-26 |
| 3P% | 30 | 23 |
| FT | 11-19 | 12-14 |
| FT% | 58 | 86 |
| REB | 35 | 28 |
| OR | 9 | 7 |
| DR | 26 | 21 |
| AST | 13 | 16 |
| STL | 4 | 11 |
| BLK | 4 | 2 |
| TO | 19 | 5 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 19 | 5 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 3 | 21 |
| FBPs | 6 | 14 |
| PIP | 24 | 24 |
| PF | 14 | 16 |
| LL | 0 | 18 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock BU 65.27–80.11 NU · NU by 14.8 pts vs BU +16.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissS. Hughes · BU
34 MIN · 4 PTSO. Federiko · NU
33 MIN · 3 PTSJake West · NU
STAT · 32 MIN · 21 PTS · 8-16 FG · 1-7 3PTLA Pratt · NU
STAT · 38 MIN · 20 PTS · 8-17 FG · 2-8 3PTAngelo Ciaravino · NU
STAT · 36 MIN · 14 PTS · 6-13 FG · 0-2 3PTAzmar Abdullah · BU
STAT · 27 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-8 FG · 2-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Boston U vs Northwestern pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is BU +16.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day