NCAABFinalMaples Pavilion

Eastern Washington Eagles at Stanford Cardinal

Final · ACCNX

E Washington65–74Stanford
E WashingtonStanford
Final

Last shot · Jalen Griffith misses layup

Eastern Washington Eagles
0-1 · W1
322 PF · 334 PA
65
Final
Final
Stanford Cardinal
1-0 · L1
314 PF · 277 PA
74
EWU 15%STAN 85%

At lock: projected EWU 70.50–82.58 STAN

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 232786117

Winner called · off by 15
Most typical sim
EWU 71 – STAN 83
Final
EWU 65 – STAN 74
  • Winner: Stanford (86%)
  • Spread: EWU +13.5 covers (54%)
  • Total: Under 154.5 (58%)
  • Score error (both teams)15

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

EWU 70.50–82.58 STAN · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    STAN +0.0 off · EWU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to STAN
  • Market prior
    Blended 86% toward STAN -13.5 / total 153.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
EWU303565
STAN344074

Scoring plays

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4759–64

    Cole Scherer makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 3:4760–64

    Cole Scherer makes free throw 1 of 1

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1362–64

    Jalen Griffith makes 11-foot hook shot

  • FT2nd Half 3:1363–64

    Jalen Griffith makes free throw 1 of 1

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4565–64

    Alton Hamilton IV makes 9-foot jumper

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2165–66

    Nick Townsend makes layup

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0065–68

    Aziz Olajuwon makes layup (Isaiah Rogers assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4565–70

    Julius Price makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:3765–71

    Julius Price makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:3765–72

    Julius Price makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:1565–73

    Aziz Olajuwon makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:1565–74

    Aziz Olajuwon makes free throw 2 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

EWUMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
A
A. Hamilton IV
F · #4
35209-180-12-491611544
J. Miller
F · #6
2993-70-03-460310243
E. Marquardt
F · #33
2721-20-10-040010224
I
I. Homelius
G · #12
1572-42-41-100000002
C
C. Scherer
G · #11
31112-71-36-722110112
L
L. Horntvedt Jr.
F · #0
800-10-00-000000000
A
A. Hamilton
F · #44
100-00-00-000000000
S. Ngoyi
F · #35
900-00-00-021000110
Z
Z. Trezvant
C · #22
821-30-10-020111020
M
M. Richmond
G · #1
1251-11-12-400010000
J. Griffith
G · #7
2394-110-41-143110132
M. Monson
G · #10
100-00-00-000000000
A
A. Gballou
F · #55
—————————————
T. Jackson
G · #2
—————————————
A. Cook
G · #9
—————————————
Team6523-544-1515-213271372131917

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

EWUSTAN
FG23-5428-51
FG%4355
3PT4-155-20
3P%2725
FT15-2113-17
FT%7176
REB3226
OR136
DR1920
AST715
STL79
BLK24
TO1312
TTO10
ToTO1312
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1525
FBPs014
PIP2244
PF1715
LL139
LC77
LPCT3956
Computer pick · Spread
EWU +13.5
52%

At lock EWU 70.50–82.58 STAN · STAN by 12.1 pts vs EWU +13.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • A. Hamilton IV · EWU

    35 MIN · 20 PTS
  • A. Cammann · STAN

    27 MIN · 13 PTS
  • Julius Price · STAN

    STAT · 34 MIN · 17 PTS · 7-12 FG · 1-3 3PT
  • Nick Townsend · STAN

    STAT · 36 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-6 FG · 2-4 FT
  • Aziz Olajuwon · STAN

    STAT · 30 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-8 FG · 2-6 3PT
  • Cole Scherer · EWU

    STAT · 31 MIN · 11 PTS · 2-7 FG · 1-3 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

E Washington vs Stanford pick result · Nov 2, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is EWU +13.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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