SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Lipscomb Bisons
Final · ESPN+
77–78Last shot · Jordan Pickett misses 28-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected SIUE 69.98–73.44 LIP
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 1:14 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 551413783
- Winner: Lipscomb (62%)
- Spread: SIUE +5.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Over 143.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)11
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SIUE 69.98–73.44 LIP · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseLIP +14.2 off · SIUE +14.7 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to LIP
- RecordLIP 1-2 · SIUE 2-1
- Market priorBlended 84% toward LIP -8.5 / total 143.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIUE | 35 | 42 | 77 |
| LIP | 46 | 32 | 78 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:4369–70
Mateo Esmeraldo makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:2771–70
Darrion Baker makes 4-foot jumper (Jordan Pickett assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:0471–71
Devyn Martin makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0773–71
Gianni Cobb makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 2:4473–72
Takai Simpkins makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2375–72
Gianni Cobb makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 2:0875–73
Titas Sargiunas makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1775–75
Devyn Martin makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:5776–75
David Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5777–75
David Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:4577–77
Kennedy Okpara makes 2-foot dunk (Mateo Esmeraldo assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:0777–78
Devyn Martin makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SIUE | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Wilson F · #0 | 31 | 15 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
 D. Baker F · #4 | 26 | 9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 D. McCaskill G · #11 | 28 | 9 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
 G. Cobb G · #2 | 30 | 20 | 10-19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 J. Pickett G · #1 | 31 | 12 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 B. Miller F · #23 | 20 | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
 B. Sohaib F · #15 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 G. Liberis F · #21 | 7 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Riley G · #55 | 10 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 C. Efono G · #7 | 11 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 H. Alexander G · #5 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 I. Baganc F · #20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Martin C · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. McCaskill G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. King G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 77 | 33-67 | 4-15 | 7-10 | 31 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SIUE | LIP | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 33-67 | 24-54 |
| FG% | 49 | 44 |
| 3PT | 4-15 | 8-30 |
| 3P% | 27 | 27 |
| FT | 7-10 | 22-29 |
| FT% | 70 | 76 |
| REB | 31 | 36 |
| OR | 10 | 10 |
| DR | 21 | 26 |
| AST | 12 | 14 |
| STL | 5 | 5 |
| BLK | 6 | 3 |
| TO | 11 | 13 |
| TTO | 1 | 2 |
| ToTO | 11 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 12 | 15 |
| FBPs | 10 | 16 |
| PIP | 58 | 32 |
| PF | 20 | 14 |
| LL | 3 | 13 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 8 | 82 |
At lock SIUE 69.98–73.44 LIP · LIP by 3.5 pts vs SIUE +5.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
HitD. Wilson · SIUE
31 MIN · 15 PTSD. Martin · LIP
26 MIN · 17 PTSGianni Cobb · SIUE
STAT · 30 MIN · 20 PTS · 10-19 FG · 0-3 3PTTakai Simpkins · LIP
STAT · 35 MIN · 14 PTS · 3-13 FG · 0-6 3PTMateo Esmeraldo · LIP
STAT · 32 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-6 FG · 3-4 3PTKennedy Okpara · LIP
STAT · 19 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-10 FG · 1-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
SIUE vs Lipscomb pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SIUE +5.5, with a 54% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day