Lipscomb Bisons at Iowa Hawkeyes
Final · BTN
54–76Last shot · Zion Wells makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected LIP 64.91–83.14 IOWA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 3, 1:46 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 534636164
- Winner: Iowa (94%)
- Spread: LIP +20.5 covers (58%)
- Total: Over 147.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)18
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LIP 64.91–83.14 IOWA · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseIOWA +0.0 off · LIP +27.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to IOWA
- RecordIOWA 1-0 · LIP 0-2
- Market priorBlended 86% toward IOWA -24.5 / total 149.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 29 | 25 | 54 |
| IOWA | 38 | 38 | 76 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:2943–67
Isaia Howard makes layup (Trevin Jirak assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:5044–67
Hugo Tidare makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:5045–67
Hugo Tidare makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4247–67
Mateo Esmeraldo makes layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:0947–69
Ty'Reek Coleman makes 1-foot dunk
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2047–71
Joey Matteoni makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5747–74
Peyton McCollum makes 24-foot three point jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3550–74
Hugo Tidare makes 23-foot three point jumper (Vuk Visnjic assists)
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 1:1050–76
Joey Matteoni makes 0-foot tip in layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5052–76
Sawyer Dotson makes 14-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:1553–76
Zion Wells makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1554–76
Zion Wells makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LIP | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Martin F · #2 | 20 | 11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
 T. Sargiunas F · #26 | 18 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 H. Tidare G · #8 | 16 | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 T. Simpkins G · #5 | 29 | 18 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 M. Esmeraldo G · #1 | 30 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
 S. Dotson F · #21 | 10 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 H. Loughridge F · #25 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Scott F · #15 | 14 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 K. Okpara F · #3 | 9 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
 L. Jack F · #0 | 10 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 T. Byrne F · #33 | 19 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
 V. Visnjic G · #7 | 13 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 Z. Wells G · #4 | 6 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 S. Groth F · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Or Ashkenazi F · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Quinn G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 54 | 17-47 | 3-18 | 17-21 | 33 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 25 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LIP | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 17-47 | 28-59 |
| FG% | 36 | 47 |
| 3PT | 3-18 | 6-25 |
| 3P% | 17 | 24 |
| FT | 17-21 | 14-28 |
| FT% | 81 | 50 |
| REB | 33 | 41 |
| OR | 6 | 14 |
| DR | 27 | 27 |
| AST | 5 | 16 |
| STL | 4 | 11 |
| BLK | 1 | 2 |
| TO | 17 | 8 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 17 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 5 | 33 |
| FBPs | 2 | 15 |
| PIP | 26 | 42 |
| PF | 25 | 19 |
| LL | 1 | 27 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 1 | 98 |
At lock LIP 64.91–83.14 IOWA · IOWA by 18.2 pts vs LIP +20.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
MissD. Martin · LIP
20 MIN · 11 PTSC. Manyawu · IOWA
12 MIN · 7 PTSTakai Simpkins · LIP
STAT · 29 MIN · 18 PTS · 5-13 FG · 2-5 3PTJaidyn Coon · IOWA
STAT · 19 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-8 FG · 2-4 FTTy'Reek Coleman · IOWA
STAT · 22 MIN · 10 PTS · 3-9 FG · 0-3 3PTCooper Koch · IOWA
STAT · 31 MIN · 9 PTS · 3-4 FG · 3-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Lipscomb vs Iowa pick result · Nov 3, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LIP +20.5, with a 54% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day