Vermont Catamounts at Iona Gaels
Final · ESPN+
55–56Last shot · Kevon Vanderhorst makes layup
At lock: projected UVM 71.57–73.60 IONA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 173972836
- Winner: Iona (57%)
- Spread: IONA -1.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Over 145.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)35
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UVM 71.57–73.60 IONA · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseIONA +0.0 off · UVM +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to IONA
- Market priorBlended 72% toward UVM -1.5 / total 145.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 29 | 26 | 55 |
| IONA | 21 | 35 | 56 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 7:5245–43
Noah Barnett makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 6:4745–46
Kevon Vanderhorst makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:4345–48
Kosy Akametu makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:3448–48
Gus Yalden makes 27-foot three point jumper (Will Davies assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:5749–48
John Broom makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:5750–48
John Broom makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5453–48
Momo Nkugwa makes 22-foot three point jumper (Gus Yalden assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:0053–49
Kevon Vanderhorst makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3653–52
Kosy Akametu makes 23-foot three point jumper (Sadiku Ibine Ayo assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2153–54
Kosy Akametu makes layup (Alliou Fall assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0655–54
Gus Yalden makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0055–56
Kevon Vanderhorst makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UVM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 N. Barnett F · #34 | 16 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
 G. Yalden F · #19 | 30 | 17 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
 W. Davies G · #12 | 31 | 10 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 D. Yepdo G · #3 | 24 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
 J. Broom G · #5 | 36 | 9 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
 M. Nkugwa G · #1 | 23 | 12 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
 K. Badru G · #4 | 18 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Glazkov G · #55 | 22 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 S. Gbiegba F · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Masic F · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Brunetto F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 H. Johns G · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Z. Romich G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Chism G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Clemons G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 55 | 19-53 | 8-31 | 9-12 | 39 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 13 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UVM | IONA | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-53 | 22-57 |
| FG% | 36 | 39 |
| 3PT | 8-31 | 7-19 |
| 3P% | 26 | 37 |
| FT | 9-12 | 5-12 |
| FT% | 75 | 42 |
| REB | 39 | 34 |
| OR | 13 | 12 |
| DR | 26 | 22 |
| AST | 9 | 9 |
| STL | 9 | 9 |
| BLK | 4 | 2 |
| TO | 15 | 13 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 15 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 18 |
| FBPs | 0 | 12 |
| PIP | 22 | 30 |
| PF | 13 | 16 |
| LL | 10 | 3 |
| LC | 5 | 5 |
| LPCT | 85 | 6 |
At lock UVM 71.57–73.60 IONA · IONA by 2.0 pts vs IONA -1.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
MissN. Barnett · UVM
16 MIN · 2 PTSA. Disu · IONA
18 MIN · 0-1 FGKevon Vanderhorst · IONA
STAT · 34 MIN · 27 PTS · 10-15 FG · 3-4 3PTKosy Akametu · IONA
STAT · 28 MIN · 18 PTS · 8-15 FG · 2-4 3PTGus Yalden · UVM
STAT · 30 MIN · 17 PTS · 7-12 FG · 2-6 3PTMomo Nkugwa · UVM
STAT · 23 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-7 FG · 3-6 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Vermont vs Iona pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is IONA -1.5, with a 50% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day