Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at Virginia Tech Hokies
Final · ACCNX
62–82Last shot · Julien Smith misses driving layup
At lock: projected MSM 63.15–87.72 VT
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3750072998
- Winner: Virginia Tech (98%)
- Spread: MSM +28.5 covers (64%)
- Total: Over 150.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)7
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
MSM 63.15–87.72 VT · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseVT +6.8 off · MSM -2.4 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to VT
- RecordVT 4-0 · MSM 1-2
- Market priorBlended 84% toward VT -27.5 / total 147.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 30 | 32 | 62 |
| VT | 42 | 40 | 82 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:5657–68
Redd Thompson Jr. makes layup
- FT2nd Half 4:4457–69
Amani Hansberry makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0557–72
Ben Hammond makes 26-foot three pointer
- FT2nd Half 4:0557–73
Ben Hammond makes free throw 1 of 1
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3357–75
Musa Sagnia makes layup (Ben Hammond assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:2957–77
Isaiah Elohim makes 2-foot dunk (Amani Hansberry assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0459–77
Anthony Arrington Jr. makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4859–80
Amani Hansberry makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ben Hammond assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:2261–80
Anthony Arrington Jr. makes 11-foot step back jumpshot
- FT2nd Half 1:0361–81
Ben Hammond makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0361–82
Ben Hammond makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4162–82
Miquel Llompart makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MSM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Y. Diop F · #23 | 27 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
 W. Exacte F · #7 | 30 | 12 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
 A. Khadre Kebe G · #9 | 33 | 9 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
 A. Arrington Jr. G · #30 | 29 | 11 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 R. Thompson Jr. G · #2 | 32 | 15 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 C. Gard F · #16 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 N. Limol F · #12 | 13 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 M. Llompart G · #22 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Smith G · #3 | 9 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 N. Rogers G · #5 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Orness G · #10 | 12 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 A. Rozakeas G · #1 | 9 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 R. Brzezanski F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. Joyce F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Hartman G · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. So G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 62 | 22-48 | 5-14 | 13-20 | 32 | 6 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MSM | VT | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-48 | 27-67 |
| FG% | 46 | 40 |
| 3PT | 5-14 | 9-27 |
| 3P% | 36 | 33 |
| FT | 13-20 | 19-29 |
| FT% | 65 | 66 |
| REB | 32 | 41 |
| OR | 9 | 21 |
| DR | 23 | 20 |
| AST | 6 | 17 |
| STL | 6 | 14 |
| BLK | 3 | 5 |
| TO | 23 | 10 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 23 | 10 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 26 |
| FBPs | 8 | 17 |
| PIP | 30 | 32 |
| PF | 22 | 19 |
| LL | 0 | 21 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock MSM 63.15–87.72 VT · VT by 24.6 pts vs MSM +28.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
HitY. Diop · MSM
27 MIN · 8 PTSM. Heide · VT
15 MIN · 5 PTSAmani Hansberry · VT
STAT · 34 MIN · 20 PTS · 6-10 FG · 3-4 3PTBen Hammond · VT
STAT · 33 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-14 FG · 2-7 3PTIsaiah Elohim · VT
STAT · 36 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-12 FG · 2-3 3PTRedd Thompson Jr. · MSM
STAT · 32 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-9 FG · 1-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Mount St Marys vs Virginia Tech pick result · Nov 13, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is MSM +28.5, with a 57% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day