Holy Cross Crusaders at Rhode Island Rams
Final · ESPN+
59–103Last shot · Elijah Flowers makes layup (Jaelon Germany assists)
At lock: projected HC 66.99–82.51 URI
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1908563314
- Winner: Rhode Island (91%)
- Spread: HC +17.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Over 149.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)28
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
HC 66.99–82.51 URI · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseURI +0.0 off · HC +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to URI
- Market priorBlended 86% toward URI -20.5 / total 146.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 27 | 32 | 59 |
| URI | 58 | 45 | 103 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:0348–94
Elijah Flowers makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:4851–94
Kole Hanson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Aidan Richard assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:2551–95
Jonah Hinton makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:2551–96
Jonah Hinton makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5951–99
Jonah Hinton makes 24-foot three point jumper (Dylan Williamson assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3653–99
Kole Hanson makes 6-foot jumper (Bradyn Foster assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:1553–100
Matas Deniusas makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:1553–101
Matas Deniusas makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4455–101
Jaelon Germany makes layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:3755–103
Tim Martin II makes 2-foot dunk
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2057–103
Bradyn Foster makes layup (Kole Hanson assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2859–103
Elijah Flowers makes layup (Jaelon Germany assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| HC | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Haigh F · #2 | 19 | 6 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 A. Richard F · #23 | 28 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
 C. Hare F · #22 | 21 | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
 T. Wilson G · #10 | 20 | 9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 K. Hanson G · #3 | 24 | 11 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 L. Rigney F · #35 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 E. Clark F · #5 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 E. Flowers F · #1 | 14 | 8 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 B. Foster F · #12 | 12 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 J. Germany G · #21 | 24 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 A. Alijosius G · #0 | 20 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 A. Mejia G · #33 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. St. Germain III G · #4 | 15 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 D. Ryan F · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Nugent F · #30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Mgbejiofor C · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 59 | 21-55 | 7-23 | 10-16 | 29 | 14 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| HC | URI | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-55 | 37-67 |
| FG% | 38 | 55 |
| 3PT | 7-23 | 12-31 |
| 3P% | 30 | 39 |
| FT | 10-16 | 17-23 |
| FT% | 63 | 74 |
| REB | 29 | 41 |
| OR | 7 | 10 |
| DR | 22 | 31 |
| AST | 14 | 19 |
| STL | 1 | 8 |
| BLK | 2 | 3 |
| TO | 16 | 5 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 16 | 5 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 6 | 16 |
| FBPs | 3 | 18 |
| PIP | 26 | 44 |
| PF | 23 | 19 |
| LL | 1 | 48 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 2 | 97 |
At lock HC 66.99–82.51 URI · URI by 15.5 pts vs HC +17.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissJ. Haigh · HC
19 MIN · 6 PTSM. Deniusas · URI
23 MIN · 13 PTSJonah Hinton · URI
STAT · 26 MIN · 24 PTS · 8-11 FG · 6-9 3PTKole Hanson · HC
STAT · 24 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-9 FG · 3-6 3PTJason Fontenet II · URI
STAT · 21 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-7 FG · 0-2 3PTJalen Harper · URI
STAT · 14 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-8 FG · 1-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Holy Cross vs Rhode Island pick result · Nov 3, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is HC +17.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day