Stonehill Skyhawks at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Final · ESPN+
37–88Last shot · Danny Cheng makes 12-foot step back jumpshot
At lock: projected STO 53.57–89.03 TTU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 13, 7:29 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2571561330
- Winner: Texas Tech (81%)
- Score error (both teams)40
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
STO 53.57–89.03 TTU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTTU +4.6 off · STO -4.9 off, shrunk 33%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TTU
- RecordTTU 5-0 · STO 1-4
- Market priorBlended 83% toward TTU -39.5 / total 143.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STO | 21 | 16 | 37 |
| TTU | 43 | 45 | 88 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 8:3533–68
Kemar Grant makes layup (Devon Arlington assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 7:4933–70
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:5433–72
Amari Barrett makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 6:2533–74
Jamichael Stillwell makes 8-foot turnaround jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:5433–76
Cruz Davis makes layup (Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:2933–79
DaKari Spear makes 26-foot three point jumper (Cruz Davis assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:5733–81
DaKari Spear makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3535–81
Trenton Ruth makes layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:5035–83
DaKari Spear makes 2-foot dunk
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0335–85
Damarion Dennis makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4135–88
DaKari Spear makes 27-foot three point jumper (Marial Akuentok assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1437–88
Danny Cheng makes 12-foot step back jumpshot
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| STO | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 P. McGuinn F · #31 | 20 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 E. Steele F · #20 | 15 | 6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
 T. Ruth G · #2 | 28 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 F. Patino G · #12 | 15 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Arlington G · #22 | 27 | 3 | 1-12 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 B. Leons F · #32 | 12 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
 D. Cheng C · #34 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 K. Grant G · #10 | 13 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 C. Byrne G · #21 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 N. Jenpa G · #15 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 E. Greenberg G · #1 | 25 | 8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 A. Allen G · #11 | 9 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 A. Boldin Jr. G · #4 | 18 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
 W. Batchelder G · #3 | 9 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Medalie F · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Langley G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 37 | 13-54 | 4-27 | 7-18 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 14 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| STO | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 13-54 | 33-68 |
| FG% | 24 | 49 |
| 3PT | 4-27 | 8-30 |
| 3P% | 15 | 27 |
| FT | 7-18 | 14-17 |
| FT% | 39 | 82 |
| REB | 24 | 59 |
| OR | 8 | 19 |
| DR | 16 | 40 |
| AST | 6 | 13 |
| STL | 7 | 11 |
| BLK | 4 | 4 |
| TO | 18 | 15 |
| TTO | 2 | 1 |
| ToTO | 18 | 15 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 16 | 23 |
| FBPs | 4 | 18 |
| PIP | 12 | 44 |
| PF | 14 | 17 |
| LL | 3 | 53 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 4 | 92 |
At lock STO 53.57–89.03 TTU · TTU by 35.5 pts vs STO +40.5 · 59% is the confidence saved at lock
MissP. McGuinn · STO
20 MIN · 0-4 FGJ. Stillwell · TTU
31 MIN · 13 PTSDaKari Spear · TTU
STAT · 26 MIN · 22 PTS · 6-9 FG · 4-6 3PTDamarion Dennis · TTU
STAT · 27 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-13 FG · 1-6 3PTAmari Barrett · TTU
STAT · 27 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-10 FG · 1-4 3PTCruz Davis · TTU
STAT · 35 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-9 FG · 1-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Stonehill vs Texas Tech pick result · Nov 14, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is STO +40.5, with a 59% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day