Long Island University Sharks at La Salle Explorers
Final · ESPN+
80–88Last shot · Rob Dockery makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected LIU 70.77–74.33 LAS
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 1:14 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 659604312
- Winner: La Salle (62%)
- Spread: LIU +4.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 146.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)22
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LIU 70.77–74.33 LAS · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseLAS +4.1 off · LIU +7.0 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to LAS
- RecordLAS 1-1 · LIU 0-3
- Market priorBlended 71% toward LAS -5.5 / total 150.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 37 | 43 | 80 |
| LAS | 39 | 49 | 88 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1573–79
Daquan Davis makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:5173–81
Noah Collier makes 1-foot dunk (Anthony Finkley assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3476–81
Joshua Skinner makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tyrell Bowles assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:2876–82
Rob Dockery makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2876–83
Rob Dockery makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2377–83
Vasean Allette makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2378–83
Vasean Allette makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:5878–85
Anthony Finkley makes 2-foot dunk (Rob Dockery assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4980–85
Daquan Davis makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:3680–86
Jaden Johnson makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2380–87
Rob Dockery makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2380–88
Rob Dockery makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LIU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 T. Bowles F · #10 | 34 | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
 J. Johnson F · #4 | 20 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 R. Bewley F · #8 | 21 | 11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
 V. Allette G · #0 | 39 | 11 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 D. Davis G · #5 | 30 | 15 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
 X. Li F · #34 | 16 | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 J. Skinner G · #11 | 29 | 12 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
 J. Pickett G · #2 | 8 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 K. Jones G · #24 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 T. Triplett Jr. F · #44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Bewley F · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Howard F · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Ndlovu-Fraser G · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Jean-Charles G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 80 | 29-64 | 7-21 | 15-18 | 36 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LIU | LAS | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 29-64 | 28-63 |
| FG% | 45 | 44 |
| 3PT | 7-21 | 13-28 |
| 3P% | 33 | 46 |
| FT | 15-18 | 19-28 |
| FT% | 83 | 68 |
| REB | 36 | 39 |
| OR | 14 | 16 |
| DR | 22 | 23 |
| AST | 17 | 21 |
| STL | 7 | 14 |
| BLK | 6 | 4 |
| TO | 17 | 12 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 17 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 10 | 17 |
| FBPs | 5 | 25 |
| PIP | 38 | 28 |
| PF | 22 | 17 |
| LL | 8 | 11 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 26 | 70 |
At lock LIU 70.77–74.33 LAS · LAS by 3.6 pts vs LIU +4.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
MissT. Bowles · LIU
34 MIN · 9 PTSA. Finkley · LAS
32 MIN · 19 PTSRob Dockery · LAS
STAT · 29 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-14 FG · 1-4 3PTDaquan Davis · LIU
STAT · 30 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-10 FG · 2-5 3PTDevin Booker · LAS
STAT · 16 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-7 FG · 3-5 3PTJoshua Skinner · LIU
STAT · 29 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-14 FG · 2-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Long Island vs La Salle pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LIU +4.5, with a 51% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day