Le Moyne Dolphins at Nebraska Cornhuskers
Final · B1G+
64–106Last shot · Hunter Frazier misses 23-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected LEM 61.04–90.32 NEB
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3055541798
- Winner: Nebraska (99%)
- Spread: LEM +33.5 covers (64%)
- Total: Under 152.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)19
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LEM 61.04–90.32 NEB · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseNEB +0.0 off · LEM +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to NEB
- Market priorBlended 86% toward NEB -34.5 / total 151.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEM | 32 | 32 | 64 |
| NEB | 58 | 48 | 106 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:4161–92
Damon Wilkinson makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:5862–92
Trevor Roe makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:3762–93
Connor Essegian makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:3762–94
Connor Essegian makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:4362–97
Connor Essegian makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jacob Lanier assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0362–100
Connor Essegian makes 26-foot three point jumper (Leo Curtis assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:2962–101
Connor Essegian makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2962–102
Connor Essegian makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0763–102
Isaiah Brown makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0764–102
Isaiah Brown makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5164–105
Leo Curtis makes 26-foot three point jumper (Kadyn Betts assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:3064–106
Kadyn Betts makes free throw 1 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LEM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ty Francis F · #9 | 18 | 8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
 K. Stuckey F · #12 | 25 | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 T. Roe F · #5 | 29 | 20 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
 D. King G · #1 | 28 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 J. Teat G · #24 | 30 | 14 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 H. Frazier F · #23 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Johnson F · #15 | 13 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 C. Schreiner F · #21 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 P. Hartman C · #7 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
I I. Brown G | 10 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 L. Gysel G · #13 | 23 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Clayville G · #4 | 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 Kh. Williams G · #2 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 I. Brown F · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Lee G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Ko. Williams G · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Moss G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 64 | 22-56 | 10-29 | 10-13 | 29 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LEM | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-56 | 35-65 |
| FG% | 39 | 54 |
| 3PT | 10-29 | 14-30 |
| 3P% | 34 | 47 |
| FT | 10-13 | 22-28 |
| FT% | 77 | 79 |
| REB | 29 | 41 |
| OR | 7 | 12 |
| DR | 22 | 29 |
| AST | 17 | 24 |
| STL | 3 | 11 |
| BLK | 3 | 4 |
| TO | 17 | 8 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 17 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 1 |
| PTS OFF TO | 7 | 20 |
| FBPs | 3 | 9 |
| PIP | 22 | 40 |
| PF | 21 | 10 |
| LL | 2 | 42 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 2 | 93 |
At lock LEM 61.04–90.32 NEB · NEB by 29.3 pts vs LEM +33.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
MissTy Francis · LEM
18 MIN · 8 PTSB. Frager · NEB
27 MIN · 7 PTSTrevor Roe · LEM
STAT · 29 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-16 FG · 5-11 3PTPryce Sandfort · NEB
STAT · 26 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-13 FG · 1-6 3PTCale Jacobsen · NEB
STAT · 25 MIN · 16 PTS · 7-8 FG · 2-2 3PTJayden Teat · LEM
STAT · 30 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-12 FG · 2-6 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Le Moyne vs Nebraska pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LEM +33.5, with a 57% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day