Queens University Royals at Oklahoma State Cowboys
Final · ESPN+
68–118Last shot · Nicholas McLean misses driving layup
At lock: projected QUC 81.83–97.21 OKST
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 6:09 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 182313387
- Winner: Oklahoma St (91%)
- Spread: QUC +17.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Over 178.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)34
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
QUC 81.83–97.21 OKST · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseOKST +10.3 off · QUC +24.4 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to OKST
- RecordOKST 2-0 · QUC 2-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward OKST -17.5 / total 179.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 31 | 37 | 68 |
| OKST | 52 | 66 | 118 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:1660–106
Caleb Jones makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:1962–106
Caleb Jones makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 4:0062–108
Latrell Allmond makes 1-foot dunk
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 3:2962–110
Jalen Montonati makes 0-foot tip in layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2164–110
Atakan Bicer makes layup (Caleb Jones assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:0064–111
Latrell Allmond makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0064–112
Latrell Allmond makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0064–114
Jalen Montonati makes 8-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0767–114
Matthew Walter makes 26-foot three point jumper (Caleb Jones assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4867–116
Jalen Montonati makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:1368–116
Jack Walter makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4468–118
Parker Robinson makes 16-foot pullup jump shot (Latrell Allmond assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| QUC | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Parker F · #6 | 18 | 15 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
 R. Ballard F · #8 | 13 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 I. Henry G · #5 | 24 | 7 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 N. Mann G · #1 | 31 | 11 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
 J. Watford G · #0 | 27 | 6 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
N N. McLean F · #33 | 25 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 A. Bicer F · #14 | 16 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 C. Jones G · #20 | 18 | 10 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
 M. Walter G · #23 | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 S. Wilson G · #15 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Walter G · #13 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Kearse G · #11 | 21 | 6 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
 J. Matusek F · #51 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Osayanrhion F · #35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Celestin F · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Sullivan G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Pack G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
S S. Zatari G · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Crider G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 68 | 24-68 | 7-34 | 13-18 | 31 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| QUC | OKST | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-68 | 44-71 |
| FG% | 35 | 62 |
| 3PT | 7-34 | 16-28 |
| 3P% | 21 | 57 |
| FT | 13-18 | 14-19 |
| FT% | 72 | 74 |
| REB | 31 | 41 |
| OR | 15 | 13 |
| DR | 16 | 28 |
| AST | 12 | 30 |
| STL | 7 | 13 |
| BLK | 3 | 5 |
| TO | 18 | 14 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 18 | 14 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 24 |
| FBPs | 11 | 27 |
| PIP | 34 | 52 |
| PF | 17 | 18 |
| LL | 1 | 50 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 1 | 97 |
At lock QUC 81.83–97.21 OKST · OKST by 15.4 pts vs QUC +17.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
MissA. Parker · QUC
18 MIN · 15 PTSJ. Burks · OKST
23 MIN · 11 PTSAndrija Grbovic · OKST
STAT · 17 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-8 FG · 5-6 3PTParker Robinson · OKST
STAT · 16 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-5 FG · 2-2 3PTJulius Halaifonua · OKST
STAT · 15 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-6 FG · 2-2 3PTLatrell Allmond · OKST
STAT · 18 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-6 FG · 0-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Queens vs Oklahoma St pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is QUC +17.5, with a 54% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day