Presbyterian Blue Hose at NC State Wolfpack
Final · ACCNX
60–94Last shot · Kingston Whitty makes layup
At lock: projected PRES 65.47–83.37 NCSU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 5:30 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3902418457
- Winner: NC State (94%)
- Spread: PRES +19.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Over 148.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)17
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
PRES 65.47–83.37 NCSU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseNCSU +10.7 off · PRES +0.1 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to NCSU
- RecordNCSU 3-0 · PRES 0-3
- Market priorBlended 84% toward NCSU -18.5 / total 151.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRES | 19 | 41 | 60 |
| NCSU | 46 | 48 | 94 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:4452–81
Amare Anderson makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3052–83
Darius Adams makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0754–83
Langston Hackworth makes 11-foot turnaround jump shot
- FT2nd Half 3:5054–84
Zymicah Wilkins makes free throw 1 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 3:1154–86
Ven-Allen Lubin makes 0-foot tip in layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5357–86
Langston Hackworth makes 27-foot three point jumper (Jaylen Peterson assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3657–88
Ven-Allen Lubin makes layup (Darius Adams assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2059–88
Triston Wilson makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5959–90
Kingston Whitty makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3859–92
Robert Jurkovic makes layup (Preston Edmead assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:2160–92
Langston Hackworth makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0560–94
Kingston Whitty makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| PRES | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Chiakwelu F · #6 | 22 | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
 J. Peterson F · #42 | 36 | 6 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
 E. Taylor G · #11 | 21 | 7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 T. Wilson G · #7 | 30 | 14 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
 C. Parrish G · #12 | 26 | 6 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 L. Hackworth F · #23 | 15 | 9 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
 A. Ayelyine F · #13 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 N. Young G · #21 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 EJ Smith G · #0 | 13 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 A. Anderson G · #10 | 12 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 JD Bowden G · #3 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 K. Hudson G · #2 | 7 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 I. King G · #5 | 10 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 W. Marsh G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. Allison G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 60 | 21-56 | 4-16 | 14-28 | 32 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| PRES | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-56 | 36-73 |
| FG% | 38 | 49 |
| 3PT | 4-16 | 10-27 |
| 3P% | 25 | 37 |
| FT | 14-28 | 12-17 |
| FT% | 50 | 71 |
| REB | 32 | 52 |
| OR | 12 | 20 |
| DR | 20 | 32 |
| AST | 8 | 17 |
| STL | 6 | 8 |
| BLK | 5 | 4 |
| TO | 13 | 9 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 13 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 22 |
| FBPs | 12 | 14 |
| PIP | 30 | 50 |
| PF | 19 | 18 |
| LL | 2 | 36 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 4 | 90 |
At lock PRES 65.47–83.37 NCSU · NCSU by 17.9 pts vs PRES +19.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissC. Chiakwelu · PRES
22 MIN · 7 PTSK. Evans · NCSU
16 MIN · 2 PTSVen-Allen Lubin · NCSU
STAT · 25 MIN · 21 PTS · 10-17 FG · 1-2 FTTriston Wilson · PRES
STAT · 30 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-11 FG · 0-2 3PTZymicah Wilkins · NCSU
STAT · 14 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-7 FG · 5-7 FTChristian Hammond · NCSU
STAT · 25 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-9 FG · 3-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Presbyterian vs NC State pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is PRES +19.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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