Campbell Fighting Camels at NC State Wolfpack
Final · ACCNX
64–83Last shot · Lance Waddles misses 26-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected CAM 67.92–88.60 NCSU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3868863219
- Winner: NC State (97%)
- Spread: CAM +23.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Under 158.5 (61%)
- Score error (both teams)10
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
CAM 67.92–88.60 NCSU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseNCSU +0.0 off · CAM +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to NCSU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward NCSU -23.5 / total 158.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAM | 19 | 45 | 64 |
| NCSU | 41 | 42 | 83 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:2146–77
Darius Adams makes layup (Ven-Allen Lubin assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:0448–77
Luka Savanovic makes layup (Sentinel Moore assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:4848–79
Kyle Evans makes layup (Darius Adams assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:2650–79
Rashawn Inglemon makes 8-foot floating jump shot (AJ Wright Jr. assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:4153–79
Rashawn Inglemon makes 24-foot three point jumper (AJ Wright Jr. assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:2753–80
Darius Adams makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1856–80
Caleb McAbee makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rashawn Inglemon assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2356–83
Darius Adams makes 26-foot three point jumper (Christian Hammond assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1158–83
Rashawn Inglemon makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 2:1159–83
Rashawn Inglemon makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1562–83
Lance Waddles makes 26-foot three point jumper (Rashawn Inglemon assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5064–83
Caleb McAbee makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CAM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 N. Kapic F · #45 | 31 | 11 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
 L. Savanovic G · #22 | 20 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
 R. Inglemon G · #2 | 37 | 20 | 8-20 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 AJ Wright Jr. G · #1 | 36 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 L. Waddles G · #7 | 35 | 19 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
 S. Moore F · #23 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 K. Rogers F · #21 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 B. Ritger G · #15 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. McAbee G · #10 | 20 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 K. Rtail G · #5 | 10 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 B. Thet F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 H. Shellhammer G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Browder G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Folk G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Angau G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Butkus G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 64 | 26-70 | 7-30 | 5-8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CAM | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 26-70 | 30-56 |
| FG% | 37 | 54 |
| 3PT | 7-30 | 11-25 |
| 3P% | 23 | 44 |
| FT | 5-8 | 12-18 |
| FT% | 63 | 67 |
| REB | 34 | 38 |
| OR | 14 | 8 |
| DR | 20 | 30 |
| AST | 12 | 20 |
| STL | 7 | 6 |
| BLK | 2 | 3 |
| TO | 10 | 13 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 10 | 13 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 12 |
| FBPs | 9 | 19 |
| PIP | 32 | 36 |
| PF | 14 | 14 |
| LL | 7 | 35 |
| LC | 5 | 5 |
| LPCT | 19 | 77 |
At lock CAM 67.92–88.60 NCSU · NCSU by 20.7 pts vs CAM +23.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitN. Kapic · CAM
31 MIN · 11 PTSK. Evans · NCSU
15 MIN · 5 PTSRashawn Inglemon · CAM
STAT · 37 MIN · 20 PTS · 8-20 FG · 3-11 3PTVen-Allen Lubin · NCSU
STAT · 26 MIN · 20 PTS · 8-8 FG · 3-3 3PTLance Waddles · CAM
STAT · 35 MIN · 19 PTS · 8-18 FG · 2-7 3PTDarius Adams · NCSU
STAT · 31 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-10 FG · 1-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Campbell vs NC State pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CAM +23.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day