NCAABFinalLittlejohn Coliseum

Stetson Hatters at Clemson Tigers

Final · ACCNX

Stetson72–85Clemson
StetsonClemson
Final

Last shot · Bankston Pourchier makes free throw 1 of 1

Stetson Hatters
0-1 · L4
242 PF · 332 PA
72
Final
Final
Clemson Tigers
1-0 · L1
337 PF · 307 PA
85
STET 3%CLEM 97%

At lock: projected STET 61.04–83.44 CLEM

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1859468984

Winner called · off by 12
Most typical sim
STET 61 – CLEM 84
Final
STET 72 – CLEM 85
  • Winner: Clemson (98%)
  • Spread: STET +25.5 covers (60%)
  • Total: Under 144.5 (50%)
  • Score error (both teams)12

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

STET 61.04–83.44 CLEM · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    CLEM +0.0 off · STET +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to CLEM
  • Market prior
    Blended 86% toward CLEM -22.5 / total 144.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
STET244872
CLEM493685

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 3:3962–80

    Dylan Faulkner makes free throw 1 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1064–80

    Collin Kuhl makes layup (Mason Fuentes assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:4264–81

    Cole Certa makes free throw 1 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1366–81

    Collin Kuhl makes layup

  • FT2nd Half 1:4666–82

    Cole Certa makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:4666–83

    Cole Certa makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:3267–83

    Bankston Pourchier makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:1567–84

    Harris Reynolds makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:1567–85

    Harris Reynolds makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5269–85

    Bankston Pourchier makes layup (Alex Doyle assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1371–85

    Bankston Pourchier makes layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:1372–85

    Bankston Pourchier makes free throw 1 of 1

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

STETMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
M. Myles
F · #0
2593-80-43-320021110
C. Kuhl
F · #9
21208-131-33-341100043
M. Entenmann
F · #43
31167-102-30-052111140
S. Morgan
G · #51
2373-71-50-020100111
T. Sucatzky
G · #5
2573-91-20-026210024
B. Pourchier
F · #24
562-20-02-300000000
J. Boyomo Keedi
F · #1
1000-00-00-010001014
F. Sheridan
F · #21
900-10-10-020001024
A. Doyle
F · #13
2231-61-50-012220014
R. Miller
G · #23
1221-10-00-001100001
D. Macgregor
G · #4
1021-20-00-010000012
M. Fuentes
G · #77
700-10-10-001100001
M. McGowan
G · #8
—————————————
B. Gladieux
G · #20
—————————————
I. Jones
G · #2
—————————————
Team7229-606-248-9291396472224

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

STETCLEM
FG29-6025-49
FG%4851
3PT6-249-24
3P%2538
FT8-926-35
FT%8974
REB2932
OR78
DR2224
AST1317
STL65
BLK45
TO98
TTO00
ToTO98
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1313
FBPs62
PIP4430
PF2413
LL025
LC00
LPCT098
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
STET +25.5
55%

At lock STET 61.04–83.44 CLEM · CLEM by 22.4 pts vs STET +25.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • M. Myles · STET

    25 MIN · 9 PTS
  • L. Lelevicius · CLEM

    34 MIN · 13 PTS
  • Collin Kuhl · STET

    STAT · 21 MIN · 20 PTS · 8-13 FG · 1-3 3PT
  • Ace Buckner · CLEM

    STAT · 26 MIN · 20 PTS · 6-14 FG · 3-7 3PT
  • Magnus Entenmann · STET

    STAT · 31 MIN · 16 PTS · 7-10 FG · 2-3 3PT
  • Dylan Faulkner · CLEM

    STAT · 33 MIN · 16 PTS · 7-8 FG · 2-6 FT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Stetson vs Clemson pick result · Nov 2, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is STET +25.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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