NCAABFinalReed Arena

UL Monroe Warhawks at Texas A&M Aggies

Final · SECN+

UL Monroe67–108Texas A&M
UL MonroeTexas A&M
Final

Last shot · Chris McDermott makes layup (Kyle Moran assists)

UL Monroe Warhawks
1-2 · L4
450 PF · 526 PA
67
Final
Final
Texas A&M Aggies
3-0 · W4
397 PF · 269 PA
108
ULM <1%TA&M >99%

At lock: projected ULM 68.06–101.50 TA&M

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 9:01 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1388249385

Winner called · off by 7
Most typical sim
ULM 68 – TA&M 102
Final
ULM 67 – TA&M 108
  • Winner: Texas A&M (100%)
  • Spread: ULM +38.5 covers (67%)
  • Total: Over 168.5 (56%)
  • Score error (both teams)7

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

ULM 68.06–101.50 TA&M · Medium confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    TA&M +15.5 off · ULM +23.9 off, shrunk 20%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to TA&M
  • Record
    TA&M 3-0 · ULM 1-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 84% toward TA&M -36.5 / total 169.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
ULM274067
TA&M5454108

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 5:1157–98

    Khalil London makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 5:1158–98

    Khalil London makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 4:2358–99

    Rylan Griffen makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 4:2358–100

    Rylan Griffen makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:5860–100

    Grant Chamberlain makes 5-foot floating jump shot (Khalil London assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4960–102

    Neiko Mundey makes driving layup (Jalen Reece assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2463–102

    Grant Chamberlain makes 23-foot three point jumper (Mike White assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1563–105

    Mackenzie Mgbako makes 29-foot three point jumper (Jalen Reece assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2265–105

    Khalil London makes 2-foot floating jump shot (Mike White assists)

  • FT2nd Half 1:3165–106

    Josh Irving makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0967–106

    Robert Cowherd makes driving layup

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0467–108

    Chris McDermott makes layup (Kyle Moran assists)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

ULMMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
L. Carr
F · #5
1841-30-02-461100333
Z. Ndancky
C · #11
1373-40-11-240200314
P. Tillman
G · #2
2282-60-04-411630012
D. Anderson
G · #1
2541-90-62-281310171
Q. McPherson
G · #0
28165-124-92-223310022
G. Schoentgen
F · #20
800-20-20-020000021
J. Registe
F · #9
200-00-00-100010000
G. Chamberlain
F · #8
1083-42-30-000000000
M. Adonry
C · #10
300-00-00-020000110
J. Lafleur
C · #34
800-00-00-010001102
C. Nelson
G · #7
200-00-00-010000101
M. White
G · #4
2400-60-40-224110021
K. London
G · #3
19124-111-33-441300133
R. Cowherd
G · #6
1983-82-50-110100011
C. Campbell
G · #13
—————————————
Team6722-659-3314-2240112171152521

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

ULMTA&M
FG22-6538-73
FG%3452
3PT9-339-31
3P%2729
FT14-2223-29
FT%6479
REB4046
OR1513
DR2533
AST1125
STL715
BLK15
TO2112
TTO10
ToTO2112
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG20
PTS OFF TO1024
FBPs423
PIP2252
PF2120
LL042
LC00
LPCT099
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
ULM +38.5
59%

At lock ULM 68.06–101.50 TA&M · TA&M by 33.4 pts vs ULM +38.5 · 59% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • L. Carr · ULM

    18 MIN · 4 PTS
  • J. Shelley · TA&M

    16 MIN · 5 PTS
  • PJ Haggerty · TA&M

    STAT · 20 MIN · 22 PTS · 9-13 FG · 1-2 3PT
  • Jordan Pope · TA&M

    STAT · 19 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-11 FG · 1-6 3PT
  • Quaran McPherson · ULM

    STAT · 28 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-12 FG · 4-9 3PT
  • Khalil London · ULM

    STAT · 19 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-11 FG · 1-3 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

UL Monroe vs Texas A&M pick result · Nov 9, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is ULM +38.5, with a 59% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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