Lamar Cardinals at Abilene Christian Wildcats
Final · ESPN+
81–83Last shot · Dominic Eason makes 25-foot three point jumper (Niccolo Moretti assists)
At lock: projected LAM 72.08–74.78 ACU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1455212766
- Winner: Abilene Chrstn (59%)
- Spread: ACU -2.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 146.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)18
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LAM 72.08–74.78 ACU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseACU +5.9 off · LAM +19.9 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to ACU
- RecordACU 1-1 · LAM 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward LAM -1.5 / total 167.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAM | 31 | 50 | 81 |
| ACU | 39 | 44 | 83 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1970–77
Quante Berry makes 14-foot pullup jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0772–77
Niccolo Moretti makes layup
- FT2nd Half 1:1772–78
Yaniel Rivera makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1772–79
Yaniel Rivera makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0174–79
Martin Minarovjech makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:5275–79
Mike Collins makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1875–80
Timéo Pons makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1875–81
Timéo Pons makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0978–81
Dominic Eason makes 24-foot three point jumper (Martin Minarovjech assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:0678–82
Isaac Dye makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0678–83
Isaac Dye makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0181–83
Dominic Eason makes 25-foot three point jumper (Niccolo Moretti assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LAM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Eason F · #5 | 34 | 17 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 C. Hinker F · #0 | 28 | 10 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 J. Jones G · #22 | 24 | 8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
 N. Moretti G · #25 | 39 | 6 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
 Q. Berry G · #3 | 31 | 20 | 8-16 | 1-7 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
 A. Agot F · #4 | 7 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 M. Ljubicic F · #21 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 M. Minarovjech G · #81 | 8 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 M. Collins G · #7 | 26 | 13 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
 M. Reed F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M.J. Wardlow G · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Lynch G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. Hartfileld G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 F. Radakovic G · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 81 | 28-58 | 9-25 | 16-27 | 32 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LAM | ACU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 28-58 | 30-59 |
| FG% | 48 | 51 |
| 3PT | 9-25 | 10-23 |
| 3P% | 36 | 43 |
| FT | 16-27 | 13-22 |
| FT% | 59 | 59 |
| REB | 32 | 36 |
| OR | 10 | 11 |
| DR | 22 | 25 |
| AST | 12 | 16 |
| STL | 7 | 6 |
| BLK | 3 | 3 |
| TO | 15 | 17 |
| TTO | 0 | 4 |
| ToTO | 15 | 17 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 18 | 21 |
| FBPs | 12 | 16 |
| PIP | 34 | 36 |
| PF | 20 | 21 |
| LL | 4 | 15 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 9 | 87 |
At lock LAM 72.08–74.78 ACU · 3.4 pts over 143.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
HitD. Eason · LAM
34 MIN · 17 PTSW. Marie-Anais · ACU
27 MIN · 8 PTSQuante Berry · LAM
STAT · 31 MIN · 20 PTS · 8-16 FG · 1-7 3PTIsaac Dye · ACU
STAT · 31 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-9 FG · 4-5 3PTEvan Boisdur · ACU
STAT · 30 MIN · 17 PTS · 7-12 FG · 3-5 3PTTiméo Pons · ACU
STAT · 26 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-8 FG · 2-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Lamar vs Abilene Chrstn pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Over 143.5, with a 51% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day