Milwaukee Panthers at Santa Clara Broncos
Final · ESPN+
72–95Last shot · Amare Hereford makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected MILW 71.86–88.12 SCU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 4, 5:24 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 607317566
- Winner: Santa Clara (93%)
- Spread: MILW +17.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Over 159.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)7
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
MILW 71.86–88.12 SCU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSCU +30.1 off · MILW +25.7 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SCU
- RecordSCU 2-0 · MILW 0-2
- Market priorBlended 85% toward SCU -16.5 / total 162.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 27 | 45 | 72 |
| SCU | 46 | 49 | 95 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:1864–85
Tre Norman makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0364–87
Francis Chukwudebelu makes layup (Brad Longcor III assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2964–89
Elijah Mahi makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 2:0565–89
Al Amadou makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0566–89
Al Amadou makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:4966–91
Alex Ensor makes 1-foot dunk (Brayde Kuykendall assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3968–91
Amare Hereford makes 4-foot floating jump shot
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:5968–93
Eli Jolin makes 0-foot dunk (Thierry Darlan assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4170–93
Ben Akoro makes 11-foot jumper
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3070–95
Noah Badibanga makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:2471–95
Amare Hereford makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2472–95
Amare Hereford makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MILW | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 N. Malosa F · #35 | 20 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Jovanovich F · #3 | 22 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
 A. Hereford G · #1 | 21 | 6 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 I. Dorceus G · #2 | 17 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 T. Norman G · #5 | 29 | 9 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
 B. Akoro F · #8 | 23 | 9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
 Al Amadou F · #21 | 14 | 11 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 D. Omweno G · #7 | 14 | 12 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 J. Hansen G · #4 | 18 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 A. Womack III G · #24 | 22 | 14 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
 C. Jackson F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Murchison F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 SJ Young G · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Walker G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Villarreal G · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Lovelace Jr. G · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 72 | 24-64 | 7-26 | 17-23 | 39 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MILW | SCU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-64 | 34-70 |
| FG% | 38 | 49 |
| 3PT | 7-26 | 11-29 |
| 3P% | 27 | 38 |
| FT | 17-23 | 16-20 |
| FT% | 74 | 80 |
| REB | 39 | 40 |
| OR | 14 | 12 |
| DR | 25 | 28 |
| AST | 11 | 29 |
| STL | 1 | 12 |
| BLK | 5 | 5 |
| TO | 18 | 11 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 18 | 11 |
| TECH | 2 | 0 |
| TECH | 2 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 1 |
| PTS OFF TO | 6 | 25 |
| FBPs | 13 | 26 |
| PIP | 32 | 46 |
| PF | 11 | 24 |
| LL | 0 | 31 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock MILW 71.86–88.12 SCU · SCU by 16.3 pts vs MILW +17.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissN. Malosa · MILW
20 MIN · 5 PTSC. Tadjo · SCU
17 MIN · 7 PTSJake Ensminger · SCU
STAT · 25 MIN · 15 PTS · 6-7 FG · 3-3 3PTAaron Womack III · MILW
STAT · 22 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-11 FG · 4-8 3PTDavid Castillo · SCU
STAT · 23 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-9 FG · 3-7 3PTDylan Omweno · MILW
STAT · 14 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-8 FG · 1-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Milwaukee vs Santa Clara pick result · Nov 4, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is MILW +17.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day