Seattle U Redhawks at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Final · MW+
73–74Last shot · Jaden Matingou makes 7-foot pullup jump shot
At lock: projected SEA 71.21–73.24 HAW
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 389061424
- Winner: Hawai'i (58%)
- Spread: HAW -1.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Over 144.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)1
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SEA 71.21–73.24 HAW · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseHAW +0.0 off · SEA +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to HAW
- Market priorBlended 72% toward HAW -1.5 / total 140.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 39 | 34 | 73 |
| HAW | 47 | 27 | 74 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 2:5667–64
Mason Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4567–65
Jaden Matingou makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4567–66
Jaden Matingou makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2869–66
Tyler Boston makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1269–68
Jaden Matingou makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5571–68
Halvine Dzellat makes layup
- FT2nd Half 1:3671–69
Chance Trujillo makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:3671–70
Chance Trujillo makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1573–70
Will Heimbrodt makes layup
- FT2nd Half 1:0773–71
Jaden Matingou makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3973–72
Chance Trujillo makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0173–74
Jaden Matingou makes 7-foot pullup jump shot
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SEA | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 W. Heimbrodt F · #5 | 34 | 20 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 J. Yeo F · #21 | 25 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 H. Dzellat C · #65 | 28 | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 |
 T. Boston G · #0 | 27 | 8 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 M. Williams G · #2 | 32 | 20 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
 R. Adams F · #10 | 16 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
 L. Coulibaly C · #12 | 9 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 A. Larane G · #13 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Bailes G · #1 | 4 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 M. Arington G · #17 | 19 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 Y. Kawashima F · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Thrastarson F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Stinson G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 JT White G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Harshman G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Hansen G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 73 | 27-54 | 7-16 | 12-17 | 30 | 11 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SEA | HAW | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 27-54 | 25-51 |
| FG% | 50 | 49 |
| 3PT | 7-16 | 8-22 |
| 3P% | 44 | 36 |
| FT | 12-17 | 16-22 |
| FT% | 71 | 73 |
| REB | 30 | 25 |
| OR | 7 | 5 |
| DR | 23 | 20 |
| AST | 11 | 12 |
| STL | 9 | 9 |
| BLK | 3 | 3 |
| TO | 20 | 16 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 20 | 16 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 1 |
| PTS OFF TO | 22 | 19 |
| FBPs | 22 | 9 |
| PIP | 34 | 32 |
| PF | 20 | 17 |
| LL | 3 | 16 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 9 | 91 |
At lock SEA 71.21–73.24 HAW · HAW by 2.0 pts vs HAW -1.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
MissW. Heimbrodt · SEA
34 MIN · 20 PTSZ. Davidson · HAW
29 MIN · 11 PTSMason Williams · SEA
STAT · 32 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-15 FG · 3-8 3PTJaden Matingou · HAW
STAT · 23 MIN · 20 PTS · 5-6 FG · 1-2 3PTChance Trujillo · HAW
STAT · 38 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-11 FG · 4-7 3PTMarcus Adams Jr. · HAW
STAT · 21 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-9 FG · 2-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Seattle U vs Hawai'i pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is HAW -1.5, with a 51% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day