Marshall Thundering Herd at Ohio State Buckeyes
Final · BTN
74–84Last shot · Alex Charlotin makes layup
At lock: projected MRSH 70.25–92.25 OSU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 8, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2301103687
- Winner: Ohio State (98%)
- Spread: MRSH +25.5 covers (62%)
- Total: Over 162.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)12
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
MRSH 70.25–92.25 OSU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseOSU +9.6 off · MRSH +9.5 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to OSU
- RecordOSU 2-1 · MRSH 1-2
- Market priorBlended 84% toward OSU -25.5 / total 162.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 27 | 47 | 74 |
| OSU | 45 | 39 | 84 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:4568–76
Alex Charlotin makes layup
- FT2nd Half 2:1368–77
Josh Ojianwuna makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5969–77
Bryce Slay makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5970–77
Bryce Slay makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:3670–79
Justin Pippen makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:5870–80
Andrija Jelavic makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5870–81
Andrija Jelavic makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3472–81
Noah Otshudi makes 6-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:2772–82
Justin Pippen makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2772–83
Justin Pippen makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1372–84
Anthony Thompson makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0774–84
Alex Charlotin makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Langdon F · #45 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. Maker C · #14 | 14 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
 E. Manyuon G · #1 | 24 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
 B. Slay G · #2 | 19 | 15 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
 N. Otshudi G · #5 | 32 | 27 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
 B. Djigo F · #25 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 V. Kuridza F · #7 | 7 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 E. Harding F · #11 | 22 | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 A. Charlotin G · #3 | 17 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 F. Oshodi G · #0 | 20 | 6 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 L. Rasmussen G · #4 | 28 | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
 D. Johnson G · #6 | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 K. Gilao G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Bell Jr. G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 W. Moore G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 74 | 29-61 | 5-22 | 11-15 | 34 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 27 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MRSH | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 29-61 | 26-59 |
| FG% | 48 | 44 |
| 3PT | 5-22 | 7-25 |
| 3P% | 23 | 28 |
| FT | 11-15 | 25-35 |
| FT% | 73 | 71 |
| REB | 34 | 34 |
| OR | 8 | 9 |
| DR | 26 | 25 |
| AST | 7 | 13 |
| STL | 6 | 7 |
| BLK | 3 | 1 |
| TO | 15 | 12 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 15 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 10 | 11 |
| FBPs | 5 | 15 |
| PIP | 26 | 36 |
| PF | 27 | 14 |
| LL | 1 | 19 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 1 | 98 |
At lock MRSH 70.25–92.25 OSU · OSU by 22.0 pts vs MRSH +25.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitC. Langdon · MRSH
4 MIN · 0-0 FGA. Jelavic · OSU
26 MIN · 11 PTSNoah Otshudi · MRSH
STAT · 32 MIN · 27 PTS · 12-18 FG · 1-2 3PTJohn Mobley Jr. · OSU
STAT · 35 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-14 FG · 3-10 3PTJimmie Williams · OSU
STAT · 21 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-10 FG · 1-3 3PTBryce Slay · MRSH
STAT · 19 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-9 FG · 3-6 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Marshall vs Ohio State pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is MRSH +25.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day