Youngstown State Penguins at Ohio State Buckeyes
Final · B1G+
65–89Last shot · Alex Smith makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected YSU 66.35–88.51 OSU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2284326068
- Winner: Ohio State (97%)
- Spread: YSU +25.5 covers (61%)
- Total: Over 154.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)1
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
YSU 66.35–88.51 OSU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseOSU +17.6 off · YSU +18.2 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to OSU
- RecordOSU 1-1 · YSU 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward OSU -25.5 / total 154.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 33 | 32 | 65 |
| OSU | 38 | 51 | 89 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:3658–77
Justin Pippen makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2260–77
Kelvin Amoako makes 5-foot jumper (Linus Holmstrom assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0560–79
Justin Pippen makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4160–82
John Mobley Jr. makes 22-foot three point jumper (Justin Pippen assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2463–82
Linus Holmstrom makes 26-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 2:0563–83
John Mobley Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0563–84
John Mobley Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4865–84
Japhet Moupadele makes 4-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 1:2965–85
Amare Bynum makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2965–86
Amare Bynum makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5465–88
Ivan Njegovan makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:3065–89
Alex Smith makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| YSU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 K. Amoako C · #2 | 18 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Haynes G · #8 | 31 | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 D. Aekins G · #7 | 28 | 13 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
 L. Holmstrom G · #4 | 29 | 12 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 J. Nwankwo G · #3 | 22 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
 L. Lokhmanchuk F · #11 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Moupadele F · #59 | 22 | 16 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Coleman F · #1 | 15 | 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 K. Destin G · #5 | 12 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Tyler G · #0 | 11 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Livingston G · #20 | 10 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
 E. Summers-Livingston F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Spurlock G · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Adcock-Vidouria G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 65 | 23-61 | 9-31 | 10-17 | 27 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| YSU | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-61 | 28-59 |
| FG% | 38 | 47 |
| 3PT | 9-31 | 4-19 |
| 3P% | 29 | 21 |
| FT | 10-17 | 29-34 |
| FT% | 59 | 85 |
| REB | 27 | 46 |
| OR | 9 | 15 |
| DR | 18 | 31 |
| AST | 12 | 15 |
| STL | 4 | 8 |
| BLK | 1 | 6 |
| TO | 13 | 12 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 13 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 13 | 16 |
| FBPs | 7 | 24 |
| PIP | 26 | 46 |
| PF | 23 | 15 |
| LL | 3 | 24 |
| LC | 8 | 8 |
| LPCT | 14 | 81 |
At lock YSU 66.35–88.51 OSU · OSU by 22.2 pts vs YSU +25.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitK. Amoako · YSU
18 MIN · 4 PTSA. Jelavic · OSU
25 MIN · 21 PTSJohn Mobley Jr. · OSU
STAT · 34 MIN · 25 PTS · 7-9 FG · 2-4 3PTJaphet Moupadele · YSU
STAT · 22 MIN · 16 PTS · 7-14 FG · 0-4 3PTAmare Bynum · OSU
STAT · 28 MIN · 15 PTS · 3-6 FG · 0-2 3PTDom Aekins · YSU
STAT · 28 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-11 FG · 2-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Youngstown St vs Ohio State pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is YSU +25.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day