Bucknell Bison at Maryland Terrapins
Final · B1G+
67–96Last shot · Luke Soden misses layup
At lock: projected BUCK 59.75–87.31 MD
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 531156497
- Winner: Maryland (99%)
- Spread: BUCK +31.5 covers (64%)
- Total: Under 147.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)16
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
BUCK 59.75–87.31 MD · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseMD +0.0 off · BUCK +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to MD
- Market priorBlended 86% toward MD -31.5 / total 148.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 30 | 37 | 67 |
| MD | 44 | 52 | 96 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:4261–84
Patrick O'Brien makes layup
- FT2nd Half 4:2262–84
Luca Soroa Schaller makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:2263–84
Luca Soroa Schaller makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2663–86
Andre Mills makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5663–88
DJ Wagner makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1863–90
Kaden House makes layup
- FT2nd Half 2:1264–90
Luke Soden makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5564–92
Kaden House makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3766–92
Jayden Williams makes 16-foot jumper (Patrick O'Brien assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5866–94
George Turkson Jr. makes layup (Bishop Boswell assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:5467–94
Luke Soden makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3667–96
Baba Oladotun makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. Soroa Schaller F · #13 | 24 | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
 P. O'Brien F · #0 | 20 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 R. Lamuno G · #4 | 26 | 12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 J. Williams G · #2 | 24 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 A. Pachucki G · #3 | 31 | 23 | 8-14 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 L. Bergseng F · #10 | 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 E. Marten-Coney F · #9 | 10 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 D. Kennard C · #8 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 M. Kocagozoglu G · #12 | 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 L. Soden G · #11 | 12 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Meachem G · #1 | 8 | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. Marshall G · #6 | 24 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
 A. Rousseau F · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Welch F · #32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Youakim G · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Hoctor G · #20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Lange G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 67 | 23-53 | 12-31 | 9-14 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BUCK | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-53 | 34-72 |
| FG% | 43 | 47 |
| 3PT | 12-31 | 7-28 |
| 3P% | 39 | 25 |
| FT | 9-14 | 21-31 |
| FT% | 64 | 68 |
| REB | 22 | 54 |
| OR | 6 | 28 |
| DR | 16 | 26 |
| AST | 17 | 11 |
| STL | 5 | 9 |
| BLK | 1 | 6 |
| TO | 18 | 13 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 18 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 22 |
| FBPs | 11 | 18 |
| PIP | 18 | 54 |
| PF | 19 | 17 |
| LL | 2 | 29 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 3 | 95 |
At lock BUCK 59.75–87.31 MD · MD by 27.6 pts vs BUCK +31.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
HitL. Soroa Schaller · BUCK
24 MIN · 7 PTST. Buljan · MD
20 MIN · 10 PTSAleksander Pachucki · BUCK
STAT · 31 MIN · 23 PTS · 8-14 FG · 7-11 3PTAndre Mills · MD
STAT · 23 MIN · 22 PTS · 8-12 FG · 3-6 3PTKaden House · MD
STAT · 18 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-9 FG · 0-2 3PTPharrel Payne · MD
STAT · 24 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-6 FG · 3-9 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Bucknell vs Maryland pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is BUCK +31.5, with a 57% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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