Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Indiana Hoosiers
Final · BTN
66–90Last shot · CohenJ Gonzales makes 13-foot pullup jump shot
At lock: projected TNTC 74.15–96.01 IU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 11, 10:54 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 329677974
- Winner: Indiana (98%)
- Spread: TNTC +25.5 covers (60%)
- Total: Over 169.5 (68%)
- Score error (both teams)17
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
TNTC 74.15–96.01 IU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseIU +5.8 off · TNTC +8.3 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to IU
- RecordIU 4-0 · TNTC 2-2
- Market priorBlended 83% toward IU -24.5 / total 168.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNTC | 37 | 29 | 66 |
| IU | 41 | 49 | 90 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:1657–81
Jaeden Mustaf makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:1657–82
Jaeden Mustaf makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 4:0659–82
Mekhi Turner makes 0-foot tip in layup
- FT2nd Half 3:4659–83
Markus Burton makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:4659–84
Markus Burton makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:4059–86
Markus Burton makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5659–88
Markus Burton makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4361–88
Shaun Arnold makes layup (Ty Owens assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0764–88
Jake Pampolina makes 25-foot three point jumper (CohenJ Gonzales assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:3764–89
Vaughn Karvala makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3764–90
Vaughn Karvala makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:2766–90
CohenJ Gonzales makes 13-foot pullup jump shot
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| TNTC | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Sanders F · #11 | 30 | 16 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
 D. Green F · #1 | 14 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
K K. Samuels G · #0 | 15 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 C. Newton G · #5 | 25 | 7 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
 T. Mosquera G · #7 | 16 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
K K. Fox F · #20 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
S S. Arnold F · #12 | 16 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 M. Turner F · #4 | 13 | 10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
H H. Stewart G · #24 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
J J. Pampolina G · #13 | 1 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
C C. Gonzales G · #6 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 D. Hackett G · #3 | 19 | 7 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
 Ty Owens G · #2 | 23 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
C C. Hollenbeck G · #10 | 23 | 9 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 D. Christensen F · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 66 | 24-70 | 9-31 | 9-16 | 35 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 28 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| TNTC | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-70 | 29-54 |
| FG% | 34 | 54 |
| 3PT | 9-31 | 6-20 |
| 3P% | 29 | 30 |
| FT | 9-16 | 26-36 |
| FT% | 56 | 72 |
| REB | 35 | 41 |
| OR | 16 | 10 |
| DR | 19 | 31 |
| AST | 11 | 15 |
| STL | 7 | 3 |
| BLK | 3 | 4 |
| TO | 15 | 14 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 15 | 14 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 12 |
| FBPs | 8 | 11 |
| PIP | 28 | 44 |
| PF | 28 | 18 |
| LL | 1 | 29 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 3 | 95 |
At lock TNTC 74.15–96.01 IU · IU by 21.9 pts vs TNTC +25.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
HitC. Sanders · TNTC
30 MIN · 16 PTSA. Sherrell · IU
30 MIN · 11 PTSSamet Yigitoglu · IU
STAT · 17 MIN · 18 PTS · 9-10 FG · 0-3 FTBryce Lindsay · IU
STAT · 25 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-9 FG · 3-8 3PTMarkus Burton · IU
STAT · 24 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-8 FG · 0-2 3PTJaeden Mustaf · IU
STAT · 29 MIN · 11 PTS · 2-3 FG · 7-10 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Tennessee Tech vs Indiana pick result · Nov 12, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is TNTC +25.5, with a 57% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day