Eastern Illinois Panthers at Indiana Hoosiers
Final · B1G+
57–91Last shot · Justin Monden misses 23-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected EIU 56.31–86.45 IU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 497454164
- Winner: Indiana (100%)
- Spread: EIU +34.5 covers (64%)
- Total: Over 142.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)5
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
EIU 56.31–86.45 IU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseIU +0.0 off · EIU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to IU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward IU -34.5 / total 144.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EIU | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| IU | 44 | 47 | 91 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 6:0449–78
Aiden Sherrell makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 6:0449–79
Aiden Sherrell makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:2149–81
Markus Burton makes 15-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:2349–84
Bryce Lindsay makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0351–84
Daniel Ntambwe makes 17-foot pullup jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4551–86
Trevor Manhertz makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2653–86
Shia Francis makes layup (Tanner Vogel assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:2453–87
Clemens Sokolov makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:2453–88
Clemens Sokolov makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1253–91
Trevor Manhertz makes 25-foot three pointer
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:4355–91
Andrew Austin makes 2-foot dunk (Jalen Calloway assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2857–91
Jaden Miller makes layup (Shia Francis assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| EIU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 G. Welch F · #11 | 12 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 D. Ntambwe F · #7 | 20 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 D. Burton F · #24 | 19 | 10 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Miller G · #3 | 22 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 M. Blackwell G · #1 | 11 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 E. Hillsman F · #9 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Austin F · #15 | 19 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 T. Vogel C · #6 | 19 | 8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
 J. Wright G · #12 | 18 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 S. Francis G · #8 | 14 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 J. Calloway G · #4 | 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Davenport G · #2 | 25 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 JT Elder G · #5 | 9 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 L. Kurtz G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Sims G · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 57 | 25-50 | 3-14 | 4-7 | 26 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| EIU | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 25-50 | 29-58 |
| FG% | 50 | 50 |
| 3PT | 3-14 | 9-24 |
| 3P% | 21 | 38 |
| FT | 4-7 | 24-32 |
| FT% | 57 | 75 |
| REB | 26 | 34 |
| OR | 5 | 13 |
| DR | 21 | 21 |
| AST | 13 | 13 |
| STL | 6 | 13 |
| BLK | 1 | 3 |
| TO | 22 | 11 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 22 | 11 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 29 |
| FBPs | 6 | 20 |
| PIP | 36 | 34 |
| PF | 22 | 11 |
| LL | 0 | 38 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock EIU 56.31–86.45 IU · IU by 30.1 pts vs EIU +34.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock
HitG. Welch · EIU
12 MIN · 4 PTSA. Sherrell · IU
25 MIN · 9 PTSMarkus Burton · IU
STAT · 24 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-8 FG · 3-3 3PTBryce Lindsay · IU
STAT · 24 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-9 FG · 3-5 3PTTrevor Manhertz · IU
STAT · 15 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-6 FG · 2-5 3PTDemar Burton · EIU
STAT · 19 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-8 FG · 1-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
E Illinois vs Indiana pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is EIU +34.5, with a 58% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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