Wyoming Cowboys at North Carolina Tar Heels
Final · ACC Network
63–76Last shot · Nasir Meyer misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
At lock: projected WYO 72.39–84.64 UNC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 5:30 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3828687213
- Winner: North Carolina (86%)
- Spread: WYO +14.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Over 155.5 (60%)
- Score error (both teams)19
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
WYO 72.39–84.64 UNC · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUNC +12.5 off · WYO +13.0 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UNC
- RecordUNC 3-0 · WYO 2-1
- Market priorBlended 84% toward UNC -12.5 / total 155.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WYO | 29 | 34 | 63 |
| UNC | 31 | 45 | 76 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:2953–64
Gavin Gores makes layup (Canin Jefferson assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:1053–67
Matt Able makes 26-foot three pointer
- FT2nd Half 3:5953–68
Maximo Adams makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1953–71
Matt Able makes 24-foot three pointer (Neo Avdalas assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0255–71
Nasir Meyer makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3258–71
Uriyah Rojas makes 26-foot three point jumper (Mike Mora assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5461–71
Renars Sondors makes 23-foot three point jumper (Nasir Meyer assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0663–71
Nasir Meyer makes 18-foot pullup jump shot
- FT2nd Half 0:5163–72
Neo Avdalas makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2363–74
Maximo Adams makes layup (Matt Able assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:1363–75
Maximo Adams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1363–76
Maximo Adams makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| WYO | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 G. Gores F · #11 | 19 | 9 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 M. Mora F · #1 | 22 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
 N. Meyer G · #2 | 29 | 17 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 K. Bennett G · #3 | 28 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
 P. Gerrits G · #22 | 18 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 C. Pohl F · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 N. Summers F · #45 | 8 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
 R. Sondors F · #10 | 22 | 12 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
 L. Ruf C · #19 | 9 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 M. Smiley G · #5 | 10 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
 U. Rojas G · #0 | 22 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 C. Jefferson G · #6 | 13 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 M. Curtis F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. De Martin G · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Gruver G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 27-74 | 8-31 | 1-2 | 43 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 24 | 14 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| WYO | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 27-74 | 29-58 |
| FG% | 36 | 50 |
| 3PT | 8-31 | 9-20 |
| 3P% | 26 | 45 |
| FT | 1-2 | 9-18 |
| FT% | 50 | 50 |
| REB | 43 | 37 |
| OR | 19 | 10 |
| DR | 24 | 27 |
| AST | 14 | 13 |
| STL | 5 | 7 |
| BLK | 1 | 9 |
| TO | 12 | 9 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 12 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 20 |
| FBPs | 4 | 9 |
| PIP | 34 | 40 |
| PF | 14 | 9 |
| LL | 6 | 18 |
| LC | 5 | 5 |
| LPCT | 29 | 69 |
At lock WYO 72.39–84.64 UNC · UNC by 12.3 pts vs WYO +14.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
HitG. Gores · WYO
19 MIN · 9 PTSJ. Stevenson · UNC
29 MIN · 7 PTSNasir Meyer · WYO
STAT · 29 MIN · 17 PTS · 8-21 FG · 1-6 3PTTerrence Brown · UNC
STAT · 31 MIN · 14 PTS · 6-16 FG · 2-3 FTIsaiah Denis · UNC
STAT · 20 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-7 FG · 3-4 3PTSayon Keita · UNC
STAT · 27 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-9 FG · 1-1 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Wyoming vs North Carolina pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is WYO +14.5, with a 54% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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