Army Black Knights at New Haven Chargers
Final · NEC Front Row
55–63Last shot · Patrick McDonough misses 28-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected ARMY 66.58–63.93 NHVN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 5:30 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2006993120
- Winner: Army (59%)
- Spread: ARMY -1.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Under 131.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)13
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
ARMY 66.58–63.93 NHVN · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseNHVN -4.2 off · ARMY +10.3 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to NHVN
- RecordNHVN 1-2 · ARMY 1-2
- Market priorBlended 70% toward ARMY -1.5 / total 134.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | 19 | 36 | 55 |
| NHVN | 24 | 39 | 63 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4849–54
Patrick McDonough makes 25-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 2:1749–55
Zoumana Traore makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:1749–56
Zoumana Traore makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0152–56
Jacen Holloway makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3652–58
Danny Young Jr. makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:2953–58
Jacen Holloway makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2853–59
Zoumana Traore makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2853–60
Zoumana Traore makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2255–60
Ryan Curry makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:1955–61
Danny Young Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1955–62
Danny Young Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0855–63
Zoumana Traore makes free throw 1 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| ARMY | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Holloway F · #10 | 29 | 12 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
 T. Laczkowski F · #32 | 23 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
 K. McCarthy G · #22 | 26 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
 R. Curry G · #2 | 30 | 8 | 4-14 | 0-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Ellis G · #3 | 12 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 D. Benner F · #23 | 20 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
 N. Ikechi F · #34 | 11 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
 D. Murans F · #12 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 P. Henderson C · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 P. McDonough G · #5 | 15 | 12 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Cooper Jr. G · #1 | 10 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Green G · #25 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Watt G · #13 | 18 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 M. Masini F · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 H. Rasmussen F · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. O'Keefe G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 55 | 22-72 | 7-30 | 4-6 | 45 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 15 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| ARMY | NHVN | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-72 | 20-50 |
| FG% | 31 | 40 |
| 3PT | 7-30 | 7-21 |
| 3P% | 23 | 33 |
| FT | 4-6 | 16-20 |
| FT% | 67 | 80 |
| REB | 45 | 40 |
| OR | 19 | 7 |
| DR | 26 | 33 |
| AST | 6 | 13 |
| STL | 5 | 3 |
| BLK | 5 | 4 |
| TO | 6 | 9 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 6 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 10 | 2 |
| FBPs | 4 | 2 |
| PIP | 28 | 26 |
| PF | 15 | 14 |
| LL | 3 | 16 |
| LC | 7 | 7 |
| LPCT | 19 | 75 |
At lock ARMY 66.58–63.93 NHVN · ARMY by 2.6 pts vs ARMY -1.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissJ. Holloway · ARMY
29 MIN · 12 PTSZ. Traore · NHVN
23 MIN · 5 PTSDanny Young Jr. · NHVN
STAT · 27 MIN · 18 PTS · 5-7 FG · 1-3 3PTPatrick McDonough · ARMY
STAT · 15 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-6 FG · 4-6 3PTRyan Curry · ARMY
STAT · 30 MIN · 8 PTS · 4-14 FG · 0-9 3PTTim Walker · NHVN
STAT · 15 MIN · 8 PTS · 3-4 FG · 2-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Army vs New Haven pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is ARMY -1.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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