San José State Spartans at UC Irvine Anteaters
Final · ESPN+
79–91Last shot · JaVaughn Hannah misses free throw 3 of 3
At lock: projected SJSU 70.56–77.75 UCI
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 12:42 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2847028612
- Winner: UC Irvine (73%)
- Spread: SJSU +8.5 covers (55%)
- Total: Over 146.5 (63%)
- Score error (both teams)21
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SJSU 70.56–77.75 UCI · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUCI +12.8 off · SJSU +11.4 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UCI
- RecordUCI 2-0 · SJSU 1-1
- Market priorBlended 71% toward UCI -8.5 / total 145.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 31 | 48 | 79 |
| UCI | 51 | 40 | 91 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0468–85
Josiah Johnson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tama Isaac assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4971–85
Joey Chammaa makes 26-foot three point jumper (JaVaughn Hannah assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:5472–85
JaVaughn Hannah makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5473–85
JaVaughn Hannah makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5173–86
Tama Isaac makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5173–87
Tama Isaac makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3976–87
Mekhi Mason makes 27-foot three point jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3279–87
KJ Martin Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:2679–88
Tama Isaac makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2679–89
Tama Isaac makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1879–90
Josiah Johnson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1879–91
Josiah Johnson makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Z. Eddine Bedri F · #23 | 14 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 R. Vaihola F · #22 | 19 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
 J. Chammaa G · #20 | 30 | 16 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
 J. Hannah G · #2 | 33 | 11 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 M. Mason G · #11 | 37 | 9 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 KJ Martin Jr. F · #15 | 19 | 14 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 M. Cook F · #1 | 30 | 16 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 O. Kullamäe G · #14 | 12 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 R. Green G · #6 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 L. Howard F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Dau Nyangol C · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Barrett G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Krueger G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 P. Goodarzi G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 79 | 29-64 | 13-32 | 8-11 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SJSU | UCI | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 29-64 | 33-63 |
| FG% | 45 | 52 |
| 3PT | 13-32 | 6-19 |
| 3P% | 41 | 32 |
| FT | 8-11 | 19-27 |
| FT% | 73 | 70 |
| REB | 24 | 46 |
| OR | 6 | 16 |
| DR | 18 | 30 |
| AST | 15 | 16 |
| STL | 10 | 5 |
| BLK | 1 | 7 |
| TO | 11 | 15 |
| TTO | 2 | 2 |
| ToTO | 11 | 15 |
| TECH | 2 | 0 |
| TECH | 2 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 23 | 10 |
| FBPs | 8 | 11 |
| PIP | 24 | 44 |
| PF | 22 | 13 |
| LL | 0 | 23 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock SJSU 70.56–77.75 UCI · UCI by 7.2 pts vs SJSU +8.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissZ. Eddine Bedri · SJSU
14 MIN · 6 PTSO. Rioux · UCI
23 MIN · 7 PTSJovan Jester Jr. · UCI
STAT · 30 MIN · 24 PTS · 8-12 FG · 2-5 3PTJoey Chammaa · SJSU
STAT · 30 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-16 FG · 4-8 3PTMookie Cook · SJSU
STAT · 30 MIN · 16 PTS · 7-14 FG · 2-7 3PTNils Cooper · UCI
STAT · 28 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-8 FG · 0-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
San José St vs UC Irvine pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SJSU +8.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day