NCAABFinalColonial Life Arena

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks

Final · SECN+

Gardner-Webb62–79South Carolina
Gardner-WebbSouth Carolina
Final

Last shot · Marcus Johnson misses 24-foot three point jumper

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
1-4 · L2
308 PF · 408 PA
62
Final
Final
South Carolina Gamecocks
5-0 · W5
394 PF · 288 PA
79
GWEB 3%SC 97%

At lock: projected GWEB 61.86–83.75 SC

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 13, 7:29 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3047761033

Called it
Most typical sim
GWEB 63 – SC 80
Final
GWEB 62 – SC 79
  • Winner: South Carolina (92%)
  • Score error (both teams)2

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

GWEB 61.86–83.75 SC · Medium confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    SC +3.8 off · GWEB -4.3 off, shrunk 33%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to SC
  • Record
    SC 5-0 · GWEB 1-4
  • Market prior
    Blended 83% toward SC -26.5 / total 141.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
GWEB332962
SC354479

Scoring plays

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:0355–69

    Kory Mincy makes driving layup

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:4255–71

    Davion Hannah makes 2-foot dunk (Jakub Necas assists)

  • FT2nd Half 3:2255–72

    Aleksas Bieliauskas makes free throw 1 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0658–72

    Jackson Skipper makes 27-foot three point jumper

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3258–74

    Aleksas Bieliauskas makes layup

  • FT2nd Half 2:2259–74

    Rue Wells makes free throw 2 of 2

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:0859–76

    Camden Heide makes 2-foot dunk (Jakub Necas assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2859–78

    Marcus Johnson makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 1:0860–78

    Rue Wells makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:5360–79

    Kory Mincy makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:4161–79

    David Gaymon makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:4162–79

    David Gaymon makes free throw 2 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

GWEBMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
M. Pocknett
F · #3
25104-80-02-470410342
S. Nosakhare
C · #32
2621-10-00-061100422
R. Wells
G · #10
2182-50-14-630100215
S. Brown
G · #1
27105-120-50-041210224
J. Hudson
G · #6
2883-120-32-311250011
J. Skipper
F · #4
18123-62-34-412000012
B. Rutsindura
C · #33
610-00-01-210000010
G. Tropnas
C · #14
300-00-00-000000000
D. Gaymon
G · #12
220-10-12-210001010
B. Luther
G · #9
200-00-00-000100000
DJ Daniel
G · #2
600-00-00-000100001
J. Ferere
G · #0
1021-20-00-020000112
A. Talbert
G · #25
2673-71-30-030000032
C. Okpara
F · #24
—————————————
Team6222-543-1615-213251371141821

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

GWEBSC
FG22-5428-48
FG%4158
3PT3-165-13
3P%1938
FT15-2118-24
FT%7175
REB3223
OR145
DR1818
AST513
STL77
BLK16
TO1311
TTO10
ToTO1311
TECH10
TECH10
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1118
FBPs513
PIP3444
PF2118
LL219
LC11
LPCT389
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
GWEB +25.5
56%

At lock GWEB 61.86–83.75 SC · SC by 21.9 pts vs GWEB +25.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • M. Pocknett · GWEB

    25 MIN · 10 PTS
  • J. Fernández · SC

    24 MIN · 15 PTS
  • Aleksas Bieliauskas · SC

    STAT · 25 MIN · 23 PTS · 8-11 FG · 2-4 3PT
  • Marcus Johnson · SC

    STAT · 33 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-9 FG · 2-4 3PT
  • Jackson Skipper · GWEB

    STAT · 18 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-6 FG · 2-3 3PT
  • Kory Mincy · SC

    STAT · 29 MIN · 11 PTS · 2-5 FG · 0-1 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Gardner-Webb vs South Carolina pick result · Nov 14, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is GWEB +25.5, with a 56% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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