NCAABFinalPeoplesBank Arena

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at UConn Huskies

Final · Peacock

Gardner-Webb46–86UConn
Gardner-WebbUConn
Final

Last shot · Jackson Skipper misses free throw 2 of 2

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
0-1 · L1
246 PF · 329 PA
46
Final
Final
UConn Huskies
1-0 · W4
338 PF · 232 PA
86
GWEB <1%CONN >99%

At lock: projected GWEB 56.74–90.32 CONN

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3014205795

Winner called · off by 15
Most typical sim
GWEB 57 – CONN 90
Final
GWEB 46 – CONN 86
  • Winner: UConn (100%)
  • Spread: GWEB +38.5 covers (67%)
  • Total: Under 147.5 (52%)
  • Score error (both teams)15

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

GWEB 56.74–90.32 CONN · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    CONN +0.0 off · GWEB +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to CONN
  • Market prior
    Blended 86% toward CONN -41.5 / total 147.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
GWEB242246
CONN434386

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 6:4538–73

    Rue Wells makes free throw 1 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:5938–75

    Oskar Giltay makes 7-foot hook shot

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 5:4038–77

    Colben Landrew makes 3-foot dunk

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:3941–77

    David Gaymon makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1343–77

    Jackson Skipper makes layup

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:5243–79

    Oskar Giltay makes 4-foot dunk (Colben Landrew assists)

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:0743–81

    Na'jai Hines makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (Colben Landrew assists)

  • FT2nd Half 1:4443–82

    Silas Demary Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:5843–84

    Egor Amosov makes 1-foot dunk (Na'jai Hines assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:2646–84

    Jackson Skipper makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ace Talbert assists)

  • FT2nd Half 0:1946–85

    Junior County makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:1946–86

    Junior County makes free throw 2 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

GWEBMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
M. Pocknett
F · #3
2142-40-00-211500012
S. Nosakhare
C · #32
2200-00-00-280111081
R. Wells
G · #10
2651-70-13-442320222
S. Brown
G · #1
2582-132-102-400000002
J. Hudson
G · #6
2492-71-14-410300010
J. Skipper
F · #4
1983-62-40-251001143
B. Rutsindura
C · #33
400-00-00-000000001
G. Tropnas
C · #14
1310-00-01-220021023
D. Gaymon
G · #12
431-31-20-010000012
B. Luther
G · #9
200-10-00-000100000
DJ Daniel
G · #2
820-00-02-210000011
J. Ferere
G · #0
1861-50-14-410400011
A. Talbert
G · #25
1400-10-00-001000001
C. Okpara
F · #24
—————————————
Team4612-476-1916-26285175342419

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

GWEBCONN
FG12-4731-60
FG%2652
3PT6-199-29
3P%3231
FT16-2615-24
FT%6263
REB2846
OR49
DR2437
AST520
STL510
BLK36
TO1710
TTO00
ToTO1710
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO214
FBPs321
PIP1042
PF1917
LL041
LC00
LPCT097
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
GWEB +38.5
58%

At lock GWEB 56.74–90.32 CONN · CONN by 33.6 pts vs GWEB +38.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • M. Pocknett · GWEB

    21 MIN · 4 PTS
  • N. Khamenia · CONN

    26 MIN · 14 PTS
  • Braylon Mullins · CONN

    STAT · 25 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-12 FG · 4-9 3PT
  • Na'jai Hines · CONN

    STAT · 22 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-6 FG · 4-6 FT
  • Colben Landrew · CONN

    STAT · 22 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-6 FG · 1-3 3PT
  • Jacob Hudson · GWEB

    STAT · 24 MIN · 9 PTS · 2-7 FG · 1-1 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Gardner-Webb vs UConn pick result · Nov 2, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is GWEB +38.5, with a 58% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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