Charleston Southern Buccaneers at South Florida Bulls
Final · ESPN+
71–98Last shot · Jackson Crawford misses 23-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected CHSO 69.64–86.88 USF
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3415882913
- Winner: South Florida (93%)
- Spread: CHSO +19.5 covers (58%)
- Total: Under 158.5 (60%)
- Score error (both teams)12
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
CHSO 69.64–86.88 USF · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUSF +0.0 off · CHSO +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to USF
- Market priorBlended 86% toward USF -21.5 / total 158.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHSO | 33 | 38 | 71 |
| USF | 43 | 55 | 98 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:5761–91
Josh Omojafo makes layup (Jake Feldhaus assists)
- FT2nd Half 5:4762–91
Jackson Crawford makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 5:4763–91
Jackson Crawford makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:2765–91
DJ Hubbard makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:5965–93
Sonny Wilson makes 16-foot jumper
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:1967–93
Jefferson McLamb makes 5-foot dunk (Lase Olalere assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:4867–94
Chris Davis Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:4367–95
Josh Omojafo makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:4367–96
Josh Omojafo makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:2770–96
Jefferson McLamb makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jackson Crawford assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:5371–96
Jackson Crawford makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3171–98
Jayden Johnson makes 16-foot jumper
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CHSO | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. Olalere F · #34 | 22 | 11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
A A. Ruffolo G · #8 | 32 | 7 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
J J. Crawford G · #4 | 31 | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
 J. Taylor G · #5 | 22 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 N. Errica G · #0 | 23 | 13 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
 T. Deng F · #17 | 8 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
 M. Majok F · #7 | 10 | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
D DJ Hubbard G · #24 | 27 | 11 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
A A. Harper G · #2 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
J J. McLamb G · #12 | 20 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
M M. Leslie F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Brafford F · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
R R. Brooks G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 71 | 26-66 | 5-23 | 14-21 | 42 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 14 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CHSO | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 26-66 | 38-76 |
| FG% | 39 | 50 |
| 3PT | 5-23 | 9-20 |
| 3P% | 22 | 45 |
| FT | 14-21 | 13-18 |
| FT% | 67 | 72 |
| REB | 42 | 45 |
| OR | 15 | 14 |
| DR | 27 | 31 |
| AST | 18 | 14 |
| STL | 3 | 13 |
| BLK | 5 | 4 |
| TO | 16 | 8 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 16 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 22 |
| FBPs | 4 | 17 |
| PIP | 42 | 50 |
| PF | 14 | 17 |
| LL | 0 | 30 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 91 |
At lock CHSO 69.64–86.88 USF · USF by 17.2 pts vs CHSO +19.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
MissL. Olalere · CHSO
22 MIN · 11 PTSG. Johnson · USF
19 MIN · 5 PTSZayden High · USF
STAT · 22 MIN · 20 PTS · 9-15 FG · 1-3 3PTSonny Wilson · USF
STAT · 31 MIN · 19 PTS · 8-15 FG · 1-2 3PTChris Davis Jr. · USF
STAT · 26 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-11 FG · 2-4 3PTMike James · USF
STAT · 24 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-10 FG · 2-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Charleston So vs South Florida pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CHSO +19.5, with a 54% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day