UL Monroe Warhawks at Grand Canyon Lopes
Final · MW+
52–88Last shot · Khalil London misses driving layup
At lock: projected ULM 69.94–98.04 GCU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 13, 7:29 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3097255247
- Winner: Grand Canyon (99%)
- Spread: ULM +31.5 covers (62%)
- Total: Over 164.5 (69%)
- Score error (both teams)28
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
ULM 69.94–98.04 GCU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseGCU +10.0 off · ULM -0.1 off, shrunk 33%
- Home field+3.4 pts to GCU
- RecordGCU 5-0 · ULM 1-6
- Market priorBlended 83% toward GCU -31.5 / total 163.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 26 | 26 | 52 |
| GCU | 43 | 45 | 88 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:3744–79
Phillip Tillman makes 18-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 4:2844–80
Efe Demirel makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0147–80
Phillip Tillman makes 25-foot three point jumper
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4647–82
Dylan Darling makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0847–84
Dylan Darling makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1349–84
Jakeel Registe makes 13-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 1:3950–84
Dayjaun Anderson makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:2750–86
Jaden Zimmerman makes 3-foot dunk (Tre Holloman assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:1151–86
Jakeel Registe makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1152–86
Jakeel Registe makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5852–87
Tre Holloman makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5852–88
Tre Holloman makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| ULM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. Carr F · #5 | 28 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
 Z. Ndancky C · #11 | 16 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
 M. White G · #4 | 13 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 P. Tillman G · #2 | 35 | 14 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
 D. Anderson G · #1 | 35 | 18 | 7-15 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
 G. Schoentgen F · #20 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Registe F · #9 | 3 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 G. Chamberlain F · #8 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 M. Adonry C · #10 | 12 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 K. London G · #3 | 30 | 10 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 R. Cowherd G · #6 | 21 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Lafleur C · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Nelson G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Campbell G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Q. McPherson G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 52 | 20-58 | 5-28 | 7-14 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| ULM | GCU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 20-58 | 32-61 |
| FG% | 34 | 52 |
| 3PT | 5-28 | 11-32 |
| 3P% | 18 | 34 |
| FT | 7-14 | 13-20 |
| FT% | 50 | 65 |
| REB | 33 | 44 |
| OR | 9 | 11 |
| DR | 24 | 33 |
| AST | 6 | 23 |
| STL | 1 | 8 |
| BLK | 0 | 5 |
| TO | 10 | 7 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 10 | 7 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 10 | 9 |
| FBPs | 0 | 19 |
| PIP | 24 | 40 |
| PF | 19 | 16 |
| LL | 0 | 37 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock ULM 69.94–98.04 GCU · GCU by 28.1 pts vs ULM +31.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
MissL. Carr · ULM
28 MIN · 1 PTSB. Barkley · GCU
20 MIN · 2 PTSDayjaun Anderson · ULM
STAT · 35 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-15 FG · 2-9 3PTJaden Henley · GCU
STAT · 23 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-7 FG · 4-4 3PTPhillip Tillman · ULM
STAT · 35 MIN · 14 PTS · 6-10 FG · 1-2 3PTAmarion Dickerson · GCU
STAT · 14 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
UL Monroe vs Grand Canyon pick result · Nov 14, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is ULM +31.5, with a 56% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day