NCAABFinalPizzitola Sports Center

New Hampshire Wildcats at Brown Bears

Final · ESPN+

New Hampshire59–55Brown
New HampshireBrown
Final

Last shot · Josiah Coleman makes free throw 2 of 2

New Hampshire Wildcats
1-0 · W1
315 PF · 246 PA
59
Final
Final
Brown Bears
0-1 · L2
342 PF · 351 PA
55
UNH 27%BRWN 73%

At lock: projected UNH 68.33–75.40 BRWN

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 965909254

Missed · off by 31
Most typical sim
UNH 69 – BRWN 76
Final
UNH 59 – BRWN 55
  • Winner: Brown (74%)
  • Spread: UNH +8.5 covers (55%)
  • Total: Over 143.5 (52%)
  • Score error (both teams)31

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

UNH 68.33–75.40 BRWN · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    BRWN +0.0 off · UNH +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to BRWN
  • Market prior
    Blended 72% toward BRWN -8.5 / total 144.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
UNH203959
BRWN272855

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 2:4453–44

    Tyler Bike makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5553–47

    Brady Loughlin makes 24-foot three point jumper (Timmy Bollin assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1553–50

    Brady Loughlin makes 24-foot three point jumper (Rykan Woo assists)

  • FT2nd Half 0:3654–50

    John Squire makes free throw 1 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2654–52

    Jeremiah Jenkins makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:1455–52

    Erik Oliver-Bush makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:1456–52

    Erik Oliver-Bush makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1056–54

    Jeremiah Jenkins makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:0557–54

    Myles Blackley makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:0357–55

    Jeremiah Jenkins makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:0158–55

    Josiah Coleman makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:0159–55

    Josiah Coleman makes free throw 2 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

UNHMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
D. McKenna
F · #5
2121-80-30-042200040
J. Squire
F · #7
2641-10-02-461010333
R. Zan
F · #21
2451-81-62-260100154
M. Blackley
G · #4
32155-102-53-472401161
T. Bike
G · #0
30133-102-55-614100013
K
K. Myers
F · #22
700-10-00-210000100
G. Xanthopoulos
C · #6
1042-30-00-120110021
J. Coleman
G · #11
2370-00-07-822000111
E. Oliver-Bush
G · #2
2792-41-34-510001011
J. O'Neill
F · #24
—————————————
D. Poser
F · #15
—————————————
A. Squire
G · #10
—————————————
N. Sangermano II
G · #8
—————————————
P. Miglani
G · #3
—————————————
J. Faumuina
G · #1
—————————————
Team5915-456-2223-323111112272414

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

UNHBRWN
FG15-4521-50
FG%3342
3PT6-226-19
3P%2732
FT23-327-14
FT%7250
REB3134
OR77
DR2427
AST1112
STL27
BLK21
TO1116
TTO23
ToTO1116
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO169
FBPs410
PIP1426
PF1425
LL1110
LC11
LPCT1977
Computer pick · Spread
UNH +8.5
53%

At lock UNH 68.33–75.40 BRWN · BRWN by 7.1 pts vs UNH +8.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • D. McKenna · UNH

    21 MIN · 2 PTS
  • N. Dabo · BRWN

    27 MIN · 8 PTS
  • Jeremiah Jenkins · BRWN

    STAT · 32 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-10 FG · 2-5 3PT
  • Myles Blackley · UNH

    STAT · 32 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-10 FG · 2-5 3PT
  • Tyler Bike · UNH

    STAT · 30 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-10 FG · 2-5 3PT
  • Brady Loughlin · BRWN

    STAT · 37 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-10 FG · 3-8 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

New Hampshire vs Brown pick result · Nov 2, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is UNH +8.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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