Rider Broncs at Binghamton Bearcats
Final · ESPN+
63–75Last shot · Ty Bevins makes 23-foot three point jumper (Khalil Farmer assists)
At lock: projected RID 64.46–71.57 BING
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 8:50 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 639786902
- Winner: Binghamton (70%)
- Score error (both teams)6
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
RID 64.46–71.57 BING · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseBING +11.9 off · RID +10.3 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to BING
- RecordBING 2-1 · RID 0-3
- Market priorBlended 70% toward BING -5.5 / total 137.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RID | 32 | 31 | 63 |
| BING | 42 | 33 | 75 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:1853–67
Kam Wylie makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:1854–67
Kam Wylie makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2456–67
Bryce Baker makes 11-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 2:5556–68
Jayden Kelsey makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:3657–68
Khalil Farmer makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:3658–68
Khalil Farmer makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0260–68
Khalil Farmer makes 13-foot turnaround jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5060–70
Dylan Godfrey makes layup (Demetrius Lilley assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1360–72
Jeremiah Quigley makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:1360–73
Jeremiah Quigley makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3360–75
Jeremiah Quigley makes 6-foot jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:2263–75
Ty Bevins makes 23-foot three point jumper (Khalil Farmer assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| RID | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 R. Brisco F · #13 | 24 | 12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
 M. Butler G · #10 | 30 | 9 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 Ty Bevins G · #5 | 29 | 11 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 B. Baker G · #55 | 32 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
 K. Farmer G · #22 | 31 | 15 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 S. Obe F · #0 | 12 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 K. Wylie F · #14 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 H. Simmons Jr. F · #23 | 23 | 12 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 S. Avegah Semey C · #8 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 JJ Washington G · #11 | 12 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 R. Rosa G · #2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 B. Presley G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Connelly G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Washington G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 24-61 | 6-24 | 9-11 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 13 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| RID | BING | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-61 | 30-58 |
| FG% | 39 | 52 |
| 3PT | 6-24 | 6-14 |
| 3P% | 25 | 43 |
| FT | 9-11 | 9-12 |
| FT% | 82 | 75 |
| REB | 30 | 36 |
| OR | 13 | 12 |
| DR | 17 | 24 |
| AST | 8 | 18 |
| STL | 5 | 4 |
| BLK | 4 | 2 |
| TO | 7 | 9 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 7 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 12 | 11 |
| FBPs | 0 | 15 |
| PIP | 30 | 44 |
| PF | 13 | 13 |
| LL | 2 | 18 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 1 | 95 |
At lock RID 64.46–71.57 BING · BING by 7.1 pts vs RID +7.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
MissR. Brisco · RID
24 MIN · 12 PTSD. Godfrey · BING
35 MIN · 18 PTSJeremiah Quigley · BING
STAT · 39 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-19 FG · 0-4 3PTKhalil Farmer · RID
STAT · 31 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-12 FG · 1-5 3PTBobby Montgomery Jr. · BING
STAT · 14 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-6 FG · 1-1 3PTHorace Simmons Jr. · RID
STAT · 23 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-9 FG · 4-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Rider vs Binghamton pick result · Nov 8, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is RID +7.5, with a 50% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day