Binghamton Bearcats at Saint Peter's Peacocks
Final · ESPN+
58–55Last shot · Bryce Eaton misses 17-foot jumper
At lock: projected BING 64.06–70.43 SPU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 2:17 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 690119759
- Winner: Saint Peter's (71%)
- Spread: BING +7.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Under 136.5 (59%)
- Score error (both teams)22
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
BING 64.06–70.43 SPU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSPU +6.5 off · BING +22.6 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SPU
- RecordSPU 0-2 · BING 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward SPU -7.5 / total 136.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BING | 27 | 31 | 58 |
| SPU | 27 | 28 | 55 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3048–51
Bryson Wilson makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0551–51
Dylan Godfrey makes 22-foot three point jumper (Bobby Montgomery Jr. assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4151–53
Bryce Eaton makes 10-foot floating jump shot
- FT2nd Half 1:4552–53
Jayden Kelsey makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2452–54
Xavier Thomas makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2452–55
Xavier Thomas makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0353–55
Jeremiah Quigley makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0354–55
Jeremiah Quigley makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4655–55
Jeremiah Quigley makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4656–55
Jeremiah Quigley makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1157–55
Jeremiah Quigley makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1158–55
Jeremiah Quigley makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| BING | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Godfrey F · #10 | 40 | 10 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 D. Lilley C · #14 | 33 | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
 J. Blackburn G · #30 | 27 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 B. Montgomery Jr. G · #5 | 24 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
 J. Quigley G · #0 | 36 | 28 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 18-20 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 S. Snagg F · #13 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Karram C · #22 | 5 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Kelsey G · #2 | 29 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Lemond G · #1 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 S. Senghore F · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
K K. Popovic G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
K K. Peyton G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Ibroci G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Robinson G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Ashe G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 58 | 15-45 | 3-19 | 25-35 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BING | SPU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 15-45 | 17-48 |
| FG% | 33 | 35 |
| 3PT | 3-19 | 6-23 |
| 3P% | 16 | 26 |
| FT | 25-35 | 15-20 |
| FT% | 71 | 75 |
| REB | 30 | 29 |
| OR | 11 | 8 |
| DR | 19 | 21 |
| AST | 8 | 7 |
| STL | 6 | 8 |
| BLK | 0 | 2 |
| TO | 10 | 11 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 10 | 11 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 8 |
| FBPs | 8 | 2 |
| PIP | 22 | 16 |
| PF | 18 | 26 |
| LL | 6 | 5 |
| LC | 8 | 8 |
| LPCT | 39 | 44 |
At lock BING 64.06–70.43 SPU · SPU by 6.4 pts vs BING +7.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitD. Godfrey · BING
40 MIN · 10 PTSX. Thomas · SPU
35 MIN · 13 PTSJeremiah Quigley · BING
STAT · 36 MIN · 28 PTS · 5-12 FG · 0-2 3PTBryce Eaton · SPU
STAT · 40 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-16 FG · 2-6 3PTDemetrius Lilley · BING
STAT · 33 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-7 FG · 3-7 FTKen Walker · SPU
STAT · 27 MIN · 9 PTS · 3-12 FG · 1-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Binghamton vs Saint Peter's pick result · Nov 5, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is BING +7.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day