High Point Panthers at Saint Louis Billikens
TV · ESPN2
@Model projects HPU 80.53 – 86.18 SLU · below the strong-play bar (edge -0.9%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
C. Fletcher · HPU
ForwardC. Brown · HPU
GuardT. Green · SLU
GuardA. Michaeli · SLU
ForwardQ. Jones · SLU
Guard
Projected prop · Trey Green (SLU) 13.45 pts · 16.00 pts/game this season, × 0.84 for the projected SLU score
At lock: projected HPU 80.53–86.18 SLU
The model
How this number was built
HPU 80.53–86.18 SLU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSLU +9.6 off · HPU +3.1 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SLU
- RecordSLU 3-0 · HPU 4-0
- Market priorBlended 69% toward SLU -6.5 / total 162.5
Season leaders
Cam'Ron FletcherPTS 12.8- Cam'Ron FletcherREB 8.0
CJ BrownAST 2.5
Trey GreenPTS 16.0
Alon MichaeliREB 7.3
Quentin JonesAST 6.0
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| HPU | SLU | |
|---|---|---|
| STRK | W4 | W3 |
| OPP PPG | 59.0 | 71.3 |
| PTS | 76.5 | 102.3 |
| FG% | 50 | 57 |
| 3P% | 26 | 50 |
| REB | 37.8 | 39.3 |
| AST | 12.0 | 22.7 |
| BLK | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| STL | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| TTO | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| ToTO | 14.5 | 9.0 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
High Point vs Saint Louis prediction · Nov 15, 2026
The model projects High Point 80.5, Saint Louis 86.2. Model win probability: Saint Louis 69%, High Point 31%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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