Richmond Spiders at Temple Owls
Final · ESPN2
79–53Last shot · Deuce Drake makes driving layup
At lock: projected RICH 77.43–75.28 TEM
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 8:50 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2855020990
- Winner: Richmond (58%)
- Spread: RICH -1.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Over 151.5 (59%)
- Score error (both teams)24
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
RICH 77.43–75.28 TEM · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTEM +9.1 off · RICH +14.3 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TEM
- RecordTEM 1-1 · RICH 3-0
- Market priorBlended 71% toward RICH -1.5 / total 150.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 37 | 42 | 79 |
| TEM | 23 | 30 | 53 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 7:0070–43
Amon Dorries makes layup (Derin Saran assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:1672–43
Collin Tanner makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 5:4174–43
Jamie Kaiser Jr. makes 2-foot dunk (Amon Dorries assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:5574–44
Christian Beam makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:5574–45
Christian Beam makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 4:4074–47
Cam Scott makes 1-foot dunk
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:5177–47
Derin Saran makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3277–49
Christian Beam makes layup (Dallis Dillard assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1579–49
Amon Dorries makes layup (Dominick Stewart assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:2079–50
Derrick Morton-Rivera makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2079–51
Derrick Morton-Rivera makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2179–53
Deuce Drake makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| RICH | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Kaiser Jr. F · #7 | 31 | 16 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
 A. Dörries C · #21 | 21 | 11 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 A. Argabright G · #3 | 31 | 15 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 D. Saran G · #13 | 30 | 10 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
 D. Stewart G · #1 | 16 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 C. Cook F · #0 | 14 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 A. Ball F · #4 | 19 | 13 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
 D. Homenick C · #16 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Simmons Jr. G · #2 | 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 W. Harper III G · #11 | 12 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Richardson G · #8 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. Mooney G · #15 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 C. Tanner G · #5 | 13 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Caldwell F · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. McCaffery F · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Shoultz G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 79 | 30-59 | 9-21 | 10-13 | 42 | 22 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| RICH | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 30-59 | 16-54 |
| FG% | 51 | 30 |
| 3PT | 9-21 | 7-32 |
| 3P% | 43 | 22 |
| FT | 10-13 | 14-21 |
| FT% | 77 | 67 |
| REB | 42 | 33 |
| OR | 9 | 10 |
| DR | 33 | 23 |
| AST | 22 | 10 |
| STL | 14 | 9 |
| BLK | 3 | 5 |
| TO | 13 | 16 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 13 | 16 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 22 | 13 |
| FBPs | 12 | 17 |
| PIP | 40 | 18 |
| PF | 19 | 17 |
| LL | 31 | 0 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 99 | 0 |
At lock RICH 77.43–75.28 TEM · RICH by 2.2 pts vs RICH -1.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
HitJ. Kaiser Jr. · RICH
31 MIN · 16 PTSC. Beam · TEM
9 MIN · 4 PTSAiden Argabright · RICH
STAT · 31 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-6 FG · 2-4 3PTAndrew Ball · RICH
STAT · 19 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-9 FG · 1-3 3PTCam Scott · TEM
STAT · 20 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-6 FG · 3-4 3PTAmon Dorries · RICH
STAT · 21 MIN · 11 PTS · 5-9 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Richmond vs Temple pick result · Nov 8, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is RICH -1.5, with a 50% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day