Niagara Purple Eagles at Iowa State Cyclones
TV · ESPN2
@At lock NIA 54.04–88.62 ISU · ISU by 34.6 pts vs NIA +38.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
L. Woods · NIA
GuardB. Rieber · NIA
GuardT. Singleton · ISU
ForwardJ. Johnson · ISU
Guard
Projected prop · Tre Singleton (ISU) 21.28 pts · 19.33 pts/game this season, × 1.10 for the projected ISU score
At lock: projected NIA 54.04–88.62 ISU
The model
How this number was built
NIA 54.04–88.62 ISU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseISU +2.9 off · NIA -3.8 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to ISU
- RecordISU 2-1 · NIA 0-3
- Market priorBlended 83% toward ISU -39.5 / total 143.5
Season leaders
Logan WoodsPTS 13.7- Logan WoodsREB 5.0
Bastien RieberAST 2.7
Tre SingletonPTS 19.3- Tre SingletonREB 7.7
Jaquan JohnsonAST 2.7
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NIA | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| STRK | L3 | W2 |
| OPP PPG | 84.0 | 61.3 |
| PTS | 63.0 | 81.0 |
| FG% | 40 | 47 |
| 3P% | 37 | 25 |
| REB | 27.3 | 39.0 |
| AST | 12.3 | 15.7 |
| BLK | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| STL | 5.7 | 11.0 |
| TTO | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| ToTO | 18.0 | 13.7 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Niagara vs Iowa State prediction · Nov 15, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is NIA +38.5, with a 56% model probability. The model projected Niagara 54.0, Iowa State 88.6 when the pick locked. Model win probability: Iowa State 100%, Niagara 0%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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