Abilene Christian Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes
Final · ESPN+
59–94Last shot · David Gomez makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected ACU 67.49–83.87 COLO
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3306921739
- Winner: Colorado (92%)
- Spread: ACU +18.5 covers (58%)
- Total: Under 152.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)19
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
ACU 67.49–83.87 COLO · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseCOLO +0.0 off · ACU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to COLO
- Market priorBlended 86% toward COLO -18.5 / total 154.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ACU | 34 | 25 | 59 |
| COLO | 36 | 58 | 94 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:5253–79
Goc Malual makes layup (Jalin Holland assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:2853–80
Alex Dickeson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:2853–81
Alex Dickeson makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3653–83
Jalin Holland makes layup (Ian Inman assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1355–83
Xabi Lopez makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0655–86
Ian Inman makes 24-foot three point jumper (Alex Dickeson assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:4355–88
Eric Jacobsen makes 1-foot alley oop dunk
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0755–91
Ian Inman makes 25-foot three point jumper
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 1:1955–93
David Gomez makes 0-foot tip in layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0957–93
Armani Theus makes 18-foot jumper
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:4559–93
Drew Haffner makes 0-foot tip in layup
- FT2nd Half 0:0659–94
David Gomez makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| ACU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 V. Yimga Moukouri F · #1 | 19 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 X. Lopez G · #6 | 18 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 T. Pons G · #29 | 25 | 13 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 I. Dye G · #24 | 26 | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 Y. Rivera G · #2 | 32 | 8 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 W. Marie-Anais F · #5 | 22 | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
 S. Rowley F · #4 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Shields G · #10 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 A. Theus G · #7 | 9 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Haffner G · #3 | 13 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 I. Neyhart G · #20 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 E. Boisdur G · #97 | 26 | 11 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 C. Hornecker F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Bolanga G · #66 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 G. Salem G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 59 | 22-57 | 4-20 | 11-17 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 14 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| ACU | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-57 | 35-58 |
| FG% | 39 | 60 |
| 3PT | 4-20 | 10-19 |
| 3P% | 20 | 53 |
| FT | 11-17 | 14-20 |
| FT% | 65 | 70 |
| REB | 24 | 39 |
| OR | 8 | 10 |
| DR | 16 | 29 |
| AST | 9 | 18 |
| STL | 5 | 7 |
| BLK | 1 | 4 |
| TO | 13 | 11 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 13 | 11 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 9 |
| FBPs | 2 | 20 |
| PIP | 30 | 42 |
| PF | 14 | 13 |
| LL | 1 | 38 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 2 | 96 |
At lock ACU 67.49–83.87 COLO · COLO by 16.4 pts vs ACU +18.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
MissV. Yimga Moukouri · ACU
19 MIN · 0-2 FGN. Feddersen · COLO
23 MIN · 10 PTSJalin Holland · COLO
STAT · 20 MIN · 18 PTS · 8-12 FG · 2-4 3PTJosiah Sanders · COLO
STAT · 27 MIN · 14 PTS · 3-5 FG · 0-1 3PTJustin Neely · COLO
STAT · 16 MIN · 14 PTS · 6-8 FG · 1-1 3PTTiméo Pons · ACU
STAT · 25 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-14 FG · 2-8 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Abilene Chrstn vs Colorado pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is ACU +18.5, with a 54% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day