Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Vanderbilt Commodores
Final · ESPN2
51–74Last shot · Kevair Kennedy misses free throw 1 of 1
At lock: projected WAKE 69.88–85.27 VAN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 4, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3291276953
- Winner: Vanderbilt (91%)
- Spread: WAKE +17.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Over 154.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)30
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
WAKE 69.88–85.27 VAN · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseVAN +24.4 off · WAKE +20.8 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to VAN
- RecordVAN 2-0 · WAKE 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward VAN -18.5 / total 155.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| VAN | 39 | 35 | 74 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:1147–56
Kevair Kennedy makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 5:3747–58
Sebastian Williams-Adams makes 9-foot dunk (Berke Buyuktuncel assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:0747–61
Ace Glass makes 33-foot three point jumper
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:4447–63
Chandler Bing makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4347–65
Tyler Tanner makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 3:4347–66
Tyler Tanner makes free throw 1 of 1
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1047–68
Chandler Bing makes layup (T.O. Barrett assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3847–70
Tyler Tanner makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:1949–70
Gavin Placide makes 6-foot dunk (Xander Pintelon assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4949–72
Tyler Tanner makes driving layup
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 1:0851–72
Gallagher Placide makes 0-foot tip in layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3151–74
Jayden Leverett makes layup (Chase Byington assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 X. Pintelon F · #17 | 29 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
 Gav. Placide F · #4 | 37 | 10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
 K. Kennedy G · #55 | 37 | 20 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
 J. Ray G · #1 | 25 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 I. Carr G · #7 | 30 | 6 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 Gal. Placide F · #0 | 11 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Abson F · #10 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Dorn C · #77 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 L. Bojovic G · #6 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. McDowell G · #11 | 25 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
 R. Nyeri F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 V. Ricchiuti F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 V. Chaudhri F · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Watson G · #45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Beard Jr. G · #30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 W. Underwood G · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 51 | 19-54 | 6-26 | 7-14 | 33 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 14 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| WAKE | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-54 | 28-72 |
| FG% | 35 | 39 |
| 3PT | 6-26 | 10-27 |
| 3P% | 23 | 37 |
| FT | 7-14 | 8-11 |
| FT% | 50 | 73 |
| REB | 33 | 48 |
| OR | 7 | 17 |
| DR | 26 | 31 |
| AST | 8 | 14 |
| STL | 1 | 6 |
| BLK | 6 | 4 |
| TO | 12 | 7 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 12 | 7 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 4 | 11 |
| FBPs | 9 | 10 |
| PIP | 26 | 30 |
| PF | 14 | 15 |
| LL | 2 | 23 |
| LC | 5 | 5 |
| LPCT | 6 | 94 |
At lock WAKE 69.88–85.27 VAN · VAN by 15.4 pts vs WAKE +17.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
MissX. Pintelon · WAKE
29 MIN · 5 PTSC. Bing · VAN
23 MIN · 13 PTSKevair Kennedy · WAKE
STAT · 37 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-15 FG · 2-6 3PTTyler Tanner · VAN
STAT · 30 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-14 FG · 0-1 3PTAce Glass · VAN
STAT · 27 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-14 FG · 4-11 3PTAnt Brown Jr. · VAN
STAT · 18 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-10 FG · 4-9 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt pick result · Nov 5, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is WAKE +17.5, with a 54% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day