Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Final · ACCNX
62–83Last shot · Ebenezer Ogoh makes layup (Isaiah Griffin assists)
At lock: projected UMES 58.89–85.59 WAKE
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3240944096
- Winner: Wake Forest (99%)
- Spread: UMES +30.5 covers (64%)
- Total: Under 144.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)6
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UMES 58.89–85.59 WAKE · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWAKE +0.0 off · UMES +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WAKE
- Market priorBlended 86% toward WAKE -32.5 / total 144.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMES | 33 | 29 | 62 |
| WAKE | 40 | 43 | 83 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:2551–76
Gallagher Placide makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kevair Kennedy assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:4051–78
Isaac Carr makes 21-foot jumper (Gavin Placide assists)
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 3:0953–78
Lucius Gibson-Savadel makes 0-foot tip in layup
- FT2nd Half 2:4754–78
Bobby Gardner makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4755–78
Bobby Gardner makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:3055–79
Kevair Kennedy makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:3055–80
Kevair Kennedy makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 2:0157–80
Lucius Gibson-Savadel makes 0-foot tip in layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5057–82
Gallagher Placide makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:1457–83
Gavin Placide makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3260–83
Isaiah Griffin makes 25-foot three point jumper
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1062–83
Ebenezer Ogoh makes layup (Isaiah Griffin assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UMES | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Cole F · #23 | 18 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
 L. Gibson-Savadel F · #22 | 31 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
 L. Beckwith SF · #24 | 20 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
B B. Gardner G · #2 | 32 | 30 | 11-19 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 S. Moore G · #5 | 25 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 S. Sylla F · #35 | 9 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
 R. Cummings F · #3 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Hall-Johnson F · #1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 G. Tokody F · #11 | 18 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 E. Ogoh C · #15 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 V. Ezeh G · #12 | 15 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
 E. Johnson III G · #10 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 I. Griffin G · #4 | 26 | 10 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
 E. Berhanu F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 I. Hall G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 62 | 23-60 | 8-23 | 8-12 | 33 | 8 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UMES | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-60 | 30-57 |
| FG% | 38 | 53 |
| 3PT | 8-23 | 7-23 |
| 3P% | 35 | 30 |
| FT | 8-12 | 16-25 |
| FT% | 67 | 64 |
| REB | 33 | 32 |
| OR | 14 | 8 |
| DR | 19 | 24 |
| AST | 8 | 15 |
| STL | 6 | 10 |
| BLK | 4 | 5 |
| TO | 18 | 11 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 18 | 11 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 6 | 31 |
| FBPs | 6 | 25 |
| PIP | 22 | 44 |
| PF | 20 | 19 |
| LL | 0 | 27 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock UMES 58.89–85.59 WAKE · WAKE by 26.7 pts vs UMES +30.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
HitA. Cole · UMES
18 MIN · 4 PTSX. Pintelon · WAKE
16 MIN · 0-6 FGBobby Gardner · UMES
STAT · 32 MIN · 30 PTS · 11-19 FG · 4-9 3PTGavin Placide · WAKE
STAT · 31 MIN · 20 PTS · 8-11 FG · 0-1 3PTJustin Ray · WAKE
STAT · 28 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-6 FG · 2-3 3PTKevair Kennedy · WAKE
STAT · 32 MIN · 14 PTS · 3-7 FG · 0-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
MD Eastern vs Wake Forest pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UMES +30.5, with a 56% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day