Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Boston College Eagles
Final · ACCNX
54–82Last shot · Victor Ezeh misses free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected UMES 53.91–76.75 BC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 5:30 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2097077143
- Winner: Boston College (98%)
- Spread: UMES +25.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Under 131.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)5
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UMES 53.91–76.75 BC · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseBC +1.3 off · UMES +1.7 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to BC
- RecordBC 3-0 · UMES 1-3
- Market priorBlended 84% toward BC -25.5 / total 127.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMES | 25 | 29 | 54 |
| BC | 43 | 39 | 82 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:5447–70
Alvin Cole makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 5:5448–70
Alvin Cole makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:3248–72
Brandon Benjamin makes layup (Money Williams assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:1150–72
Bobby Gardner makes 14-foot pullup jump shot
- FT2nd Half 4:3851–72
Bobby Gardner makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2551–75
JB Frankel makes 23-foot three point jumper (Armoni Zeigler assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5753–75
Ebenezer Ogoh makes 5-foot hook shot (Levi Beckwith assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:3553–76
Zak Smrekar makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:3553–77
Zak Smrekar makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:1753–79
Zak Smrekar makes 3-foot dunk
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1053–82
JB Frankel makes 24-foot three point jumper (Armoni Zeigler assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:0154–82
Victor Ezeh makes free throw 1 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UMES | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Cole F · #23 | 25 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 L. Gibson-Savadel F · #22 | 20 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
B B. Gardner G · #2 | 31 | 12 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 S. Moore G · #5 | 29 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 I. Griffin G · #4 | 33 | 23 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Sylla F · #35 | 10 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 R. Cummings F · #3 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 G. Tokody F · #11 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 L. Beckwith SF · #24 | 21 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 E. Ogoh C · #15 | 10 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 V. Ezeh G · #12 | 13 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 I. Hall G · #0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Hall-Johnson F · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Berhanu F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Johnson III G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 54 | 18-42 | 3-12 | 15-24 | 20 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UMES | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 18-42 | 24-55 |
| FG% | 43 | 44 |
| 3PT | 3-12 | 11-29 |
| 3P% | 25 | 38 |
| FT | 15-24 | 23-24 |
| FT% | 63 | 96 |
| REB | 20 | 42 |
| OR | 7 | 19 |
| DR | 13 | 23 |
| AST | 5 | 14 |
| STL | 7 | 8 |
| BLK | 3 | 4 |
| TO | 14 | 13 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 14 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 6 | 21 |
| FBPs | 5 | 7 |
| PIP | 24 | 26 |
| PF | 19 | 23 |
| LL | 0 | 29 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock UMES 53.91–76.75 BC · BC by 22.8 pts vs UMES +25.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
MissA. Cole · UMES
25 MIN · 7 PTSC. Duggan · BC
27 MIN · 14 PTSIsaiah Griffin · UMES
STAT · 33 MIN · 23 PTS · 7-10 FG · 1-3 3PTLuke Hunger · BC
STAT · 30 MIN · 20 PTS · 5-8 FG · 2-4 3PTZak Smrekar · BC
STAT · 26 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-10 FG · 1-5 3PTBobby Gardner · UMES
STAT · 31 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-11 FG · 1-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
MD Eastern vs Boston College pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UMES +25.5, with a 55% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day