Massachusetts Minutemen at Boston College Eagles
Final · ESPN+
55–71Last shot · Noa Zemljić misses 22-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected MASS 70.30–75.90 BC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2080299524
- Winner: Boston College (70%)
- Spread: MASS +6.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 145.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)21
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
MASS 70.30–75.90 BC · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseBC +10.1 off · MASS +8.4 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to BC
- RecordBC 2-0 · MASS 1-1
- Market priorBlended 71% toward BC -5.5 / total 143.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 35 | 20 | 55 |
| BC | 37 | 34 | 71 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:1751–61
Zak Smrekar makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:1751–62
Zak Smrekar makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0352–62
Cheick Sylla makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0353–62
Cheick Sylla makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:5153–63
Money Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:5153–64
Money Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2655–64
Dwayne Wimbley Jr. makes 19-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5655–67
Money Williams makes 24-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:2755–68
Money Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2755–69
Money Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1255–70
Brandon Benjamin makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1255–71
Brandon Benjamin makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MASS | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Ahmed F · #1 | 27 | 12 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
 J. Wang F · #10 | 27 | 7 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
 D. Wimbley Jr. F · #2 | 24 | 15 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
 J. Clayton G · #3 | 33 | 4 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 D. Carbuccia G · #0 | 26 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 H. Helgason F · #14 | 7 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 D. Clerc F · #25 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Sylla F · #34 | 8 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 N. Zemljić G · #12 | 17 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 R. Castineyra G · #27 | 8 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Martin NA · #6 | 18 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
 L. Damjanac F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Hailey G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Engel G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Ndjigue G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 55 | 21-54 | 5-18 | 8-14 | 39 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 21 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MASS | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-54 | 22-59 |
| FG% | 39 | 37 |
| 3PT | 5-18 | 3-27 |
| 3P% | 28 | 11 |
| FT | 8-14 | 24-26 |
| FT% | 57 | 92 |
| REB | 39 | 36 |
| OR | 18 | 17 |
| DR | 21 | 19 |
| AST | 11 | 10 |
| STL | 0 | 8 |
| BLK | 3 | 3 |
| TO | 14 | 4 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 14 | 4 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 4 | 22 |
| FBPs | 0 | 6 |
| PIP | 28 | 38 |
| PF | 21 | 16 |
| LL | 8 | 16 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 34 | 58 |
At lock MASS 70.30–75.90 BC · BC by 5.6 pts vs MASS +6.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissA. Ahmed · MASS
27 MIN · 12 PTSC. Duggan · BC
11 MIN · 2 PTSMoney Williams · BC
STAT · 40 MIN · 35 PTS · 10-22 FG · 2-7 3PTDwayne Wimbley Jr. · MASS
STAT · 24 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-10 FG · 2-3 3PTZak Smrekar · BC
STAT · 36 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-8 FG · 1-5 3PTBrandon Benjamin · BC
STAT · 13 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-4 FG · 2-2 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
UMass vs Boston College pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is MASS +6.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day