Wagner Seahawks at Boston College Eagles
Final · ACCNX
50–76Last shot · Armoni Zeigler makes 28-foot three pointer (JB Frankel assists)
At lock: projected WAG 65.99–81.51 BC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2130632381
- Winner: Boston College (92%)
- Spread: WAG +17.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Under 147.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)22
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
WAG 65.99–81.51 BC · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseBC +0.0 off · WAG +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to BC
- Market priorBlended 86% toward BC -20.5 / total 143.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 23 | 27 | 50 |
| BC | 38 | 38 | 76 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:0843–66
Money Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0843–67
Money Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0744–67
Kareem Watson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0344–68
Money Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0344–69
Money Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5644–71
Money Williams makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:3746–71
Jaren Curtis makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:1146–72
Money Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1146–73
Money Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0148–73
Gavin Edwards makes driving layup
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:4050–73
Freddy Hassan makes 0-foot tip in layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1150–76
Armoni Zeigler makes 28-foot three pointer (JB Frankel assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| WAG | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 T. Jones F · #7 | 18 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
 Y. Singar C · #24 | 21 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
 T. Bryant G · #1 | 29 | 10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
 R. Pettis G · #6 | 16 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 C. Estevez G · #3 | 34 | 10 | 5-17 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
 F. Hassan F · #9 | 12 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
 AJ Rodriguez F · #8 | 24 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
 K. Watson F · #13 | 24 | 13 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 B. Smith Jr. C · #5 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 W. Patterson Jr. C · #2 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 G. Edwards G · #10 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Curtis G · #0 | 9 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 L. McGrady G · #4 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Kaba F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 50 | 17-56 | 3-15 | 13-17 | 34 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| WAG | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 17-56 | 25-51 |
| FG% | 30 | 49 |
| 3PT | 3-15 | 7-17 |
| 3P% | 20 | 41 |
| FT | 13-17 | 19-25 |
| FT% | 76 | 76 |
| REB | 34 | 36 |
| OR | 13 | 7 |
| DR | 21 | 29 |
| AST | 5 | 12 |
| STL | 3 | 6 |
| BLK | 5 | 3 |
| TO | 13 | 11 |
| TTO | 0 | 4 |
| ToTO | 13 | 11 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 5 | 9 |
| FBPs | 5 | 14 |
| PIP | 24 | 34 |
| PF | 23 | 15 |
| LL | 3 | 27 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 3 | 95 |
At lock WAG 65.99–81.51 BC · BC by 15.5 pts vs WAG +17.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissT. Jones · WAG
18 MIN · 2 PTSC. Duggan · BC
15 MIN · 2 PTSMoney Williams · BC
STAT · 37 MIN · 22 PTS · 5-11 FG · 1-3 3PTArmoni Zeigler · BC
STAT · 29 MIN · 14 PTS · 6-9 FG · 2-3 3PTKareem Watson · WAG
STAT · 24 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-8 FG · 1-4 3PTZak Smrekar · BC
STAT · 37 MIN · 12 PTS · 6-11 FG · 0-1 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Wagner vs Boston College pick result · Nov 3, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is WAG +17.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day