Missouri Tigers at Marquette Golden Eagles
TV · Peacock
@Model projects MIZ 75.25 – 77.57 MARQ · below the strong-play bar (edge -1.0%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
J. Crowe Jr. · MIZ
GuardB. Tiller · MIZ
ForwardR. Parham · MARQ
ForwardS. Fru · MARQ
ForwardN. James Jr. · MARQ
Guard
Projected prop · Jason Crowe Jr. (MIZ) 17.33 pts · 21.67 pts/game this season, × 0.80 for the projected MIZ score
At lock: projected MIZ 75.25–77.57 MARQ
The model
How this number was built
MIZ 75.25–77.57 MARQ · Medium confidence
Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexMARQ +15.5 vs MIZ +14.1 · pred margin +2.3
- Attack / defenseMARQ +2.7 off · MIZ +7.3 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to MARQ
- RecordMARQ 2-1 · MIZ 2-1
- Market priorBlended 69% toward MARQ -1.5 / total 153.5
Season leaders
Jason Crowe Jr.PTS 21.7
Bryson TillerREB 8.3- Jason Crowe Jr.AST 4.3
Royce ParhamPTS 12.0
Sananda FruREB 7.3
Nigel James Jr.AST 4.0
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MIZ | MARQ | |
|---|---|---|
| STRK | W1 | L1 |
| OPP PPG | 66.0 | 53.0 |
| PTS | 97.0 | 80.3 |
| FG% | 53 | 44 |
| 3P% | 44 | 30 |
| REB | 40.0 | 43.3 |
| AST | 20.7 | 19.3 |
| BLK | 7.3 | 6.0 |
| STL | 9.0 | 9.3 |
| TTO | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| ToTO | 7.3 | 8.7 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Missouri vs Marquette prediction · Nov 15, 2026
The model projects Missouri 75.3, Marquette 77.6. Model win probability: Marquette 58%, Missouri 42%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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