NCAABFinalMcDonough Arena

Delaware State Hornets at Georgetown Hoyas

Final · ESPN+

Delaware St78–83Georgetown
Delaware StGeorgetown
Final

Last shot · Nasir Muhammad makes driving layup

Delaware State Hornets
1-2 · L3
272 PF · 273 PA
78
Final
Final
Georgetown Hoyas
3-0 · W4
334 PF · 288 PA
83
DSU 2%GTWN 98%

At lock: projected DSU 59.53–83.25 GTWN

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 4194867898

Winner called · off by 18
Most typical sim
DSU 60 – GTWN 83
Final
DSU 78 – GTWN 83
  • Winner: Georgetown (98%)
  • Spread: DSU +27.5 covers (63%)
  • Total: Over 142.5 (52%)
  • Score error (both teams)18

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

DSU 59.53–83.25 GTWN · Medium confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    GTWN +11.7 off · DSU +5.0 off, shrunk 20%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to GTWN
  • Record
    GTWN 3-0 · DSU 1-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 84% toward GTWN -30.5 / total 143.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
DSU433578
GTWN335083

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 4:4769–73

    Caleb Williams makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:0269–75

    Jaland Lowe makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 3:3770–75

    Joshua Obiora makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 3:3771–75

    Joshua Obiora makes free throw 2 of 2

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:1471–77

    Vince Iwuchukwu makes 1-foot dunk (Jaland Lowe assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3374–77

    Nasir Muhammad makes 23-foot three pointer (Anthony Parker assists)

  • FT2nd Half 1:0574–78

    Jaland Lowe makes free throw 1 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4876–78

    Anthony Parker makes 16-foot step back jumpshot

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2376–80

    Vince Iwuchukwu makes layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:2376–81

    Vince Iwuchukwu makes free throw 1 of 1

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:1076–83

    Vince Iwuchukwu makes 1-foot dunk (Jaland Lowe assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0578–83

    Nasir Muhammad makes driving layup

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

DSUMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
J
J. Obiora
F · #24
37155-70-05-741220221
M. Adamu
F · #35
1542-30-00-120000113
N
N. Reedus
SG · #10
38197-124-61-124310023
N. Muhammad
PG · #3
17135-93-50-032210123
R. Moore
G · #0
2100-20-00-032210031
F
F. Muntari
F · #34
200-00-00-010000010
G
G. Ekukwai
F · #5
1642-30-00-061000245
I
I. Sullivan
SG · #11
1562-20-02-230000122
A
A. Parker
G · #2
30166-142-82-225420022
J. St Clair
G · #8
910-20-01-210111012
T
T. Hawkins
F · #23
—————————————
A. Santos
F · #37
—————————————
P. Smith Jr.
F
—————————————
N
N. Baysah Jr.
G · #1
—————————————
D. Shepherd
G · #22
—————————————
Team7829-549-1911-153015158182222

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

DSUGTWN
FG29-5427-55
FG%5449
3PT9-198-23
3P%4735
FT11-1521-28
FT%7375
REB3032
OR812
DR2220
AST1521
STL84
BLK13
TO1512
TTO10
ToTO1512
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1017
FBPs1921
PIP2436
PF2213
LL127
LC1414
LPCT4350
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
DSU +27.5
56%

At lock DSU 59.53–83.25 GTWN · GTWN by 23.7 pts vs DSU +27.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • J. Obiora · DSU

    37 MIN · 15 PTS
  • C. Williams · GTWN

    25 MIN · 10 PTS
  • Vince Iwuchukwu · GTWN

    STAT · 27 MIN · 28 PTS · 9-11 FG · 10-11 FT
  • Nehemiah Reedus · DSU

    STAT · 38 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-12 FG · 4-6 3PT
  • Anthony Parker · DSU

    STAT · 30 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-14 FG · 2-8 3PT
  • Kayvaun Mulready · GTWN

    STAT · 38 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-12 FG · 3-8 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Delaware St vs Georgetown pick result · Nov 10, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is DSU +27.5, with a 56% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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