Grambling Tigers at Texas Longhorns
Final · SEC Network
62–93Last shot · Chancellor Perkins misses 16-foot jumper
At lock: projected GRAM 60.91–91.63 TEX
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 8, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2987453866
- Winner: Texas (100%)
- Spread: GRAM +35.5 covers (66%)
- Total: Over 152.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)2
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
GRAM 60.91–91.63 TEX · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTEX +7.3 off · GRAM +2.4 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TEX
- RecordTEX 3-0 · GRAM 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward TEX -37.5 / total 155.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GRAM | 27 | 35 | 62 |
| TEX | 55 | 38 | 93 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:1648–88
Antonio Shannon makes free throw 1 of 3
- FT2nd Half 5:1649–88
Antonio Shannon makes free throw 3 of 3
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 4:2251–88
Isaiah Miranda makes 0-foot tip in dunk
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0854–88
Dwayne Pierce makes 24-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Howard assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4256–88
Isaiah Miranda makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:3056–90
Amari Evans makes 12-foot pullup jump shot
- FT2nd Half 3:0857–90
Isaiah Miranda makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0858–90
Isaiah Miranda makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3160–90
Imoh Erims makes layup (Mekhi Fitts assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4162–90
Isaiah Howard makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2562–92
John Clark makes layup (Joe Sterling assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:2562–93
John Clark makes free throw 1 of 1
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| GRAM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 H. Washington F · #7 | 9 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
 I. Miranda F · #14 | 23 | 8 | 3-13 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
 Anton. Shannon G · #0 | 24 | 12 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
 D. Pierce G · #11 | 31 | 7 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 B. Hardy G · #4 | 25 | 9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 I. Erims F · #8 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 M. Fitts F · #23 | 34 | 13 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
 C. Byrd G · #5 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
G G. Avramovic G · #3 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Antoi. Shannon G · #2 | 16 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
 C. Perkins G · #20 | 12 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 I. Howard G · #43 | 18 | 9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 AJ Barnes F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Layton G · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Bey G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 62 | 23-64 | 6-26 | 10-15 | 34 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 24 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| GRAM | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-64 | 30-59 |
| FG% | 36 | 51 |
| 3PT | 6-26 | 6-16 |
| 3P% | 23 | 38 |
| FT | 10-15 | 27-42 |
| FT% | 67 | 64 |
| REB | 34 | 45 |
| OR | 12 | 13 |
| DR | 22 | 32 |
| AST | 9 | 13 |
| STL | 4 | 11 |
| BLK | 5 | 4 |
| TO | 13 | 8 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 13 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 15 |
| FBPs | 0 | 14 |
| PIP | 18 | 46 |
| PF | 24 | 16 |
| LL | 0 | 44 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock GRAM 60.91–91.63 TEX · TEX by 30.7 pts vs GRAM +35.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock
HitH. Washington · GRAM
9 MIN · 0-0 FGD. Punch · TEX
21 MIN · 10 PTSMatas Vokietaitis · TEX
STAT · 23 MIN · 26 PTS · 8-12 FG · 10-12 FTMekhi Fitts · GRAM
STAT · 34 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-14 FG · 1-3 3PTJoe Sterling · TEX
STAT · 16 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-6 FG · 3-4 3PTAntonio Shannon · GRAM
STAT · 24 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-9 FG · 2-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Grambling vs Texas pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is GRAM +35.5, with a 58% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day