Chicago State Cougars at Texas Longhorns
Final · SEC Network
59–109Last shot · Malek Robinson misses 20-foot jumper
At lock: projected CHST 57.17–91.61 TEX
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2886788152
- Winner: Texas (100%)
- Spread: CHST +39.5 covers (68%)
- Total: Under 149.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)19
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
CHST 57.17–91.61 TEX · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTEX +0.0 off · CHST +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TEX
- Market priorBlended 86% toward TEX -40.5 / total 149.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHST | 30 | 29 | 59 |
| TEX | 56 | 53 | 109 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:1552–93
Kameron Foman makes layup (Mike Price assists)
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 5:5952–95
Lewis Obiorah makes 0-foot tip in layup
- FT2nd Half 5:2253–95
Malek Robinson makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:0453–98
Amari Evans makes 24-foot three point jumper (Joe Sterling assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:2353–101
Joe Sterling makes 25-foot three point jumper (Austin Goosby assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:3853–104
Amari Evans makes 24-foot three point jumper (Austin Goosby assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3555–104
Bryan Akanmu makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1057–104
Will Lovings-Watts makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:3259–104
Bryan Akanmu makes layup
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 1:1459–106
Bo Ogden makes 0-foot tip in layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3559–108
Bo Ogden makes 11-foot floating jump shot
- FT2nd Half 0:3559–109
Bo Ogden makes free throw 1 of 1
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CHST | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L L. Stephane Djiya F · #15 | 10 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 D. Loury F · #1 | 14 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 M. Robinson G · #9 | 21 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 M. Price G · #8 | 27 | 12 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 W. Lovings-Watts G · #23 | 24 | 13 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 A. Stanton F · #20 | 8 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 B. Akanmu F · #24 | 22 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 K. Foman F · #0 | 18 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 B. Kalonji C · #10 | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 N. Graham G · #4 | 16 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 A. Carraway G · #3 | 12 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 M. Olafioye G · #11 | 20 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
 L. Hodges Jr. F · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 F. Sheriff F · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Popotte G · #18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Pazon G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 59 | 24-61 | 5-16 | 6-12 | 22 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CHST | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-61 | 40-64 |
| FG% | 39 | 63 |
| 3PT | 5-16 | 13-26 |
| 3P% | 31 | 50 |
| FT | 6-12 | 16-24 |
| FT% | 50 | 67 |
| REB | 22 | 44 |
| OR | 11 | 16 |
| DR | 11 | 28 |
| AST | 12 | 22 |
| STL | 5 | 8 |
| BLK | 0 | 6 |
| TO | 15 | 10 |
| TTO | 5 | 0 |
| ToTO | 15 | 10 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 25 |
| FBPs | 7 | 26 |
| PIP | 32 | 50 |
| PF | 20 | 18 |
| LL | 0 | 51 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock CHST 57.17–91.61 TEX · TEX by 34.4 pts vs CHST +39.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock
MissL. Stephane Djiya · CHST
10 MIN · 3 PTSD. Punch · TEX
24 MIN · 9 PTSMatas Vokietaitis · TEX
STAT · 25 MIN · 22 PTS · 9-9 FG · 4-7 FTIsaiah Johnson · TEX
STAT · 25 MIN · 18 PTS · 5-8 FG · 3-5 3PTJoe Sterling · TEX
STAT · 15 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-7 FG · 4-6 3PTWill Lovings-Watts · CHST
STAT · 24 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-9 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Chicago St vs Texas pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CHST +39.5, with a 58% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day