NCAABFinalLloyd Noble Center

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Oklahoma Sooners

Final · SECN+

Miss Valley St57–84Oklahoma
Miss Valley StOklahoma
Final

Last shot · Tianhao Wu misses 15-foot jumper

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
0-1 · L4
252 PF · 342 PA
57
Final
Final
Oklahoma Sooners
1-1 · W3
303 PF · 255 PA
84
MVSU <1%OU >99%

At lock: projected MVSU 58.61–93.90 OU

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 6:09 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3038772461

Winner called · off by 12
Most typical sim
MVSU 59 – OU 94
Final
MVSU 57 – OU 84
  • Winner: Oklahoma (100%)
  • Spread: MVSU +40.5 covers (67%)
  • Total: Under 152.5 (51%)
  • Score error (both teams)12

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

MVSU 58.61–93.90 OU · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    OU +15.8 off · MVSU +0.0 off, shrunk 11%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to OU
  • Record
    OU 1-1 · MVSU 0-1
  • Market prior
    Blended 86% toward OU -40.5 / total 152.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
MVSU223557
OU384684

Scoring plays

  • TIPSHOT2nd Half 4:0147–74

    Tymias Williams makes 0-foot tip in layup

  • FT2nd Half 3:5547–75

    Duke Brennan makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0747–77

    Gage Mayfield makes driving layup (Quincy Wadley assists)

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:3147–79

    Khani Rooths makes 1-foot dunk (Quincy Wadley assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:1548–79

    Tymias Williams makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:1549–79

    Tymias Williams makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5549–82

    Quincy Wadley makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:4251–82

    Tymias Williams makes 2-foot dunk (Eli Pippins assists)

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:2851–84

    Yaak Yaak makes 1-foot dunk (Gage Mayfield assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1354–84

    Eli Pippins makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3956–84

    AJ Abrams makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:2057–84

    Tymias Williams makes free throw 1 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

MVSUMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
G
G. Martinez
PF · #21
3242-60-30-051121230
T
T. Williams
F · #7
32197-141-44-592232634
E
E. Pippins
PG · #1
2583-71-31-102320001
C
C. Cameron
G · #8
3163-70-10-051411141
T
T. James Jr.
G · #20
1800-40-40-010000100
T
T. Wu
C · #9
1630-50-13-420200113
M
M. Anglo
G · #5
26103-61-13-432400030
A
AJ Abrams
G · #2
2073-90-11-220100110
Q
Q. Pang
PF · #13
—————————————
C. Sutton
F
—————————————
M
M. McCoy
F · #12
—————————————
H
H. Wilson Jr.
F · #11
—————————————
T. Foster
G · #24
—————————————
Team5721-583-1812-16328178413199

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

MVSUOU
FG21-5833-70
FG%3647
3PT3-1813-40
3P%1732
FT12-165-6
FT%7583
REB3242
OR1317
DR1925
AST825
STL812
BLK44
TO1712
TTO00
ToTO1712
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1116
FBPs315
PIP3440
PF914
LL033
LC00
LPCT093
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
MVSU +40.5
59%

At lock MVSU 58.61–93.90 OU · OU by 35.3 pts vs MVSU +40.5 · 59% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • G. Martinez · MVSU

    32 MIN · 4 PTS
  • D. Reid · OU

    28 MIN · 17 PTS
  • Tymias Williams · MVSU

    STAT · 32 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-14 FG · 1-4 3PT
  • B.J. Edwards · OU

    STAT · 27 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-10 FG · 4-6 3PT
  • Matt Anglo · MVSU

    STAT · 26 MIN · 10 PTS · 3-6 FG · 1-1 3PT
  • Duke Brennan · OU

    STAT · 20 MIN · 9 PTS · 3-5 FG · 3-4 FT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Miss Valley St vs Oklahoma pick result · Nov 6, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is MVSU +40.5, with a 59% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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