East Texas A&M Lions at Oklahoma Sooners
Final · SECN+
68–64Last shot · Dayton Forsythe misses 32-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected ETAM 60.61–88.17 OU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2988439604
- Winner: Oklahoma (99%)
- Spread: ETAM +31.5 covers (63%)
- Total: Under 149.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)31
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
ETAM 60.61–88.17 OU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseOU +0.0 off · ETAM +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to OU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward OU -28.5 / total 148.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETAM | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| OU | 25 | 39 | 64 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:5558–58
Derrion Reid makes layup (Khani Rooths assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0860–58
Thomas Duchamp makes layup (Maxime Carrio assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5160–60
Tyler Hendricks makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3362–60
Bo Aldridge makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:4163–60
Mohamed Diakite makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:4164–60
Mohamed Diakite makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:1266–60
Mohamed Diakite makes 1-foot dunk (Bo Aldridge assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:0566–61
Pop Isaacs makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2566–63
Pop Isaacs makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:2566–64
Pop Isaacs makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 0:0367–64
Bo Aldridge makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0368–64
Bo Aldridge makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| ETAM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. Diakite F · #5 | 33 | 15 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
 B. Aldridge F · #1 | 25 | 22 | 8-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
 J. Ford F · #24 | 15 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
 G. Škorjanc G · #4 | 24 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 A. Dodd G · #8 | 25 | 15 | 5-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
 A. Hot F · #21 | 22 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
 T. Duchamp F · #20 | 27 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 M. Carrio F · #10 | 16 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 K. Tolbert G · #12 | 12 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 M. Markovic F · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Dinu F · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Y. Vidal F · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Robinson G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Adlam G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Phelps G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 68 | 25-57 | 11-27 | 7-13 | 33 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 24 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| ETAM | OU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 25-57 | 21-52 |
| FG% | 44 | 40 |
| 3PT | 11-27 | 5-20 |
| 3P% | 41 | 25 |
| FT | 7-13 | 17-32 |
| FT% | 54 | 53 |
| REB | 33 | 34 |
| OR | 14 | 14 |
| DR | 19 | 20 |
| AST | 17 | 12 |
| STL | 9 | 11 |
| BLK | 2 | 7 |
| TO | 15 | 15 |
| TTO | 0 | 2 |
| ToTO | 15 | 15 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 2 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 19 |
| FBPs | 9 | 9 |
| PIP | 28 | 30 |
| PF | 24 | 15 |
| LL | 16 | 5 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 78 | 13 |
At lock ETAM 60.61–88.17 OU · OU by 27.6 pts vs ETAM +31.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock
HitM. Diakite · ETAM
33 MIN · 15 PTSD. Reid · OU
33 MIN · 14 PTSBo Aldridge · ETAM
STAT · 25 MIN · 22 PTS · 8-12 FG · 3-7 3PTAlonzo Dodd · ETAM
STAT · 25 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-13 FG · 5-9 3PTPop Isaacs · OU
STAT · 29 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-7 FG · 2-4 3PTDuke Brennan · OU
STAT · 17 MIN · 9 PTS · 4-6 FG · 1-2 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
East Texas A&M vs Oklahoma pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is ETAM +31.5, with a 58% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day