NCAABFinalStegeman Coliseum

North Carolina Central Eagles at Georgia Bulldogs

Final · SECN+

NC Central62–78Georgia
NC CentralGeorgia
Final

Last shot · Ryan Archey misses layup

North Carolina Central Eagles
0-1 · L4
254 PF · 297 PA
62
Final
Final
Georgia Bulldogs
1-0 · W4
327 PF · 281 PA
78
NCCU <1%UGA >99%

At lock: projected NCCU 62.76–95.48 UGA

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1194527526

Winner called · off by 18
Most typical sim
NCCU 63 – UGA 95
Final
NCCU 62 – UGA 78
  • Winner: Georgia (100%)
  • Spread: NCCU +37.5 covers (66%)
  • Total: Under 160.5 (64%)
  • Score error (both teams)18

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

NCCU 62.76–95.48 UGA · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    UGA +0.0 off · NCCU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to UGA
  • Market prior
    Blended 86% toward UGA -40.5 / total 163.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
NCCU283462
UGA413778

Scoring plays

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0857–68

    Jozohn Price makes 26-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Buckley assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:5757–69

    Marcus Millender makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:5757–70

    Marcus Millender makes free throw 2 of 2

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:4057–72

    Kanon Catchings makes 2-foot dunk (Marcus Millender assists)

  • FT2nd Half 1:4957–73

    Marcus Millender makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:4957–74

    Marcus Millender makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:3859–74

    Darius Kane makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 1:1459–75

    Marcus Millender makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:1459–76

    Marcus Millender makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5962–76

    Jozohn Price makes 23-foot three point jumper (Darius Kane assists)

  • FT2nd Half 0:4662–77

    Brady Dunlap makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:4662–78

    Brady Dunlap makes free throw 2 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

NCCUMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
D. Duor
F · #3
1600-20-10-020100021
M. Vassel
F · #8
18105-80-00-040210310
C. Sanon
G · #23
34197-155-70-060010243
D. Kane
G · #2
2261-60-14-417520012
T. Brown
G · #6
34104-90-12-292221365
J. Price
F · #13
1362-32-20-010000101
C. Meeks
F · #0
700-00-00-010100011
T. Mason
F · #12
2221-60-00-051200144
V
V. Alao
G · #11
000-00-00-000000000
C. Thomas
G · #9
600-40-10-010010102
I. Buckley
G · #4
1872-60-23-421500020
R. Archey
G · #10
1021-20-00-000010000
D. Mbaeteka
C · #33
—————————————
B. Selby
G · #5
—————————————
A. Bowser
G · #1
—————————————
Team6223-617-159-1036111981122419

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

NCCUUGA
FG23-6126-59
FG%3844
3PT7-156-26
3P%4723
FT9-1020-30
FT%9067
REB3637
OR1210
DR2427
AST1113
STL813
BLK16
TO1911
TTO10
ToTO1911
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1029
FBPs1125
PIP3040
PF1912
LL317
LC66
LPCT688
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
NCCU +37.5
58%

At lock NCCU 62.76–95.48 UGA · UGA by 32.7 pts vs NCCU +37.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • D. Duor · NCCU

    16 MIN · 0-2 FG
  • K. Catchings · UGA

    28 MIN · 16 PTS
  • Cristian Sanon · NCCU

    STAT · 34 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-15 FG · 5-7 3PT
  • Blue Cain · UGA

    STAT · 31 MIN · 15 PTS · 7-12 FG · 0-3 3PT
  • Marcus Millender · UGA

    STAT · 30 MIN · 12 PTS · 1-6 FG · 1-3 3PT
  • Maurice Vassel · NCCU

    STAT · 18 MIN · 10 PTS · 5-8 FG · 4 REB

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

NC Central vs Georgia pick result · Nov 2, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is NCCU +37.5, with a 58% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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