Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers
Final · KFAA-TV
117–127Last shot · Cooper Flagg makes driving layup
At lock: projected DAL 113.71–118.36 CLE
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 13, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 641907208
- Winner: Cavaliers (72%)
- Score error (both teams)10
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Flagg points | — | 23 | 18 | off -5 |
| P.J. Washington points | — | 14 | 10 | off -4 |
| D. Mitchell points | — | 26 | 0 | off -26 |
| J. Harden points | — | 21 | 0 | off -21 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: DAL vs CLE
The model
How this number was built
DAL 113.71–118.36 CLE · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexCLE +4.0 vs DAL -0.1 · pred margin -5.5
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net +1.8 vs -2.2 · back-to-back: CLE · model CLE 118.5–115.2 DAL
- Home field+2.8 pts to CLE
- RecordCLE 8-7 · DAL 7-7
- Market priorBlended 78% toward DAL -8.5 / total 228.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 33 | 20 | 38 | 26 | 117 |
| CLE | 33 | 38 | 34 | 22 | 127 |
Scoring plays
SCORE4th Quarter 5:17103–118Meleek Thomas makes 13-foot two point shot (Mario Hezonja assists)
JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 4:40106–118Kyrie Irving makes 31-foot three point jumper (Caleb Martin assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 4:21106–120
Mario Hezonja makes 2-foot dunk (Norchad Omier assists)
- FT4th Quarter 3:43107–120
Santi Aldama makes free throw 2 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 3:03110–120
Kyrie Irving makes 29-foot running pullup jump shot
- SCORE4th Quarter 2:23112–120
Kyrie Irving makes 10-foot pullup jump shot
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:25112–122
Norchad Omier makes dunk (Tyrese Proctor assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:11112–124
Mario Hezonja makes two point shot (Tyrese Proctor assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 44.0114–124
Naji Marshall makes two point shot
- FT4th Quarter 33.2114–125
Meleek Thomas makes free throw 2 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 28.3116–125
Cooper Flagg makes driving layup
- FT4th Quarter 28.3117–125
Cooper Flagg makes free throw 1 of 1
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| DAL | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Martin F · #16 | 33 | 15 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 |
 D. Gafford F · #21 | 17 | 10 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -11 |
 P.J. Washington F · #25 | 26 | 10 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -20 |
 C. Flagg F · #32 | 38 | 18 | 6-19 | 0-6 | 6-8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
 K. Irving G · #11 | 37 | 34 | 11-25 | 7-16 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 |
 N. Marshall F · #3 | 30 | 12 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
 S. Aldama F · #34 | 16 | 7 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +16 |
 M. Johnson Jr. F · #14 | 15 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -9 |
 Z. Risacher F · #10 | 14 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 |
 W. Clayton Jr. G · #1 | 13 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9 |
 T. Lawal F · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Cisse C · #30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Sasser G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Howard G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 117 | 39-94 | 14-44 | 25-31 | 40 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DAL | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 39-94 | 48-90 |
| FG% | 41 | 53 |
| 3PT | 14-44 | 15-40 |
| 3P% | 32 | 38 |
| FT | 25-31 | 16-18 |
| FT% | 81 | 89 |
| REB | 40 | 54 |
| OR | 14 | 13 |
| DR | 26 | 41 |
| AST | 23 | 31 |
| STL | 8 | 2 |
| BLK | 3 | 1 |
| TO | 7 | 16 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 8 | 17 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 13 | 20 |
| FBPs | 16 | 17 |
| PIP | 42 | 54 |
| PF | 20 | 24 |
| LL | 3 | 22 |
| LC | 10 | 10 |
| LPCT | 7 | 86 |
Model projected DAL 113.71 – 118.36 CLE at lock · below the strong-play bar (edge +0.1%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
Prop D. Mitchell · CLE
0 · under 25.5C. Martin · DAL
33 MIN · 15 PTSM. Hezonja · CLE
34 MIN · 22 PTSKyrie Irving · DAL
STAT · 37 MIN · 34 PTS · 11-25 FG · 7-16 3PTTyrese Proctor · CLE
STAT · 34 MIN · 24 PTS · 10-19 FG · 4-13 3PTMeleek Thomas · CLE
STAT · 34 MIN · 20 PTS · 8-17 FG · 3-9 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · D. Mitchell Under 25.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Mavericks vs Cavaliers pick result · Nov 14, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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